PSN Stock Falls -19% With A 9-day Losing Spree On Q4 Earnings Miss
Parsons (PSN) – a provider of cybersecurity and intelligence solutions for defense – hit a 9-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -19%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $1.4 Bil over the last 9 days and currently stands at $5.9 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 11.1% compared to -1% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Q4 2025 Earnings and Revenue Miss
- Reported EPS of $0.75 vs. estimate of $0.81
- Reported Revenue of $1.6B vs. estimate of $1.68B, down 7.5% YoY
- Impact: Stock plummeted 14.4% on the day of the announcement, Multiple analysts lowered price targets
[2] Analyst Price Target Reductions
- UBS lowered target to $95 from $104
- KeyBanc lowered target to $73 from $80
- Impact: Increased negative investor sentiment, Stock reached a new 52-week low of $56.16
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are several things to fear in PSN stock given its overall Weak operating performance and financial condition. This is aligned with the stock’s Low valuation because of which we think it is Fairly Priced (For details, see Buy or Sell PSN).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -19% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PSN stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PSN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -3.3% | 0.0% |
| 9D (Current Streak) | -19.0% | -1.5% |
| 1M (21D) | -8.8% | -2.4% |
| 3M (63D) | -18.0% | -1.6% |
| YTD 2026 | -11.1% | -1.0% |
| 2025 | -33.0% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 47.1% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 35.6% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: PSN Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 21.0 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 121 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 21 | 44 |
| 4D | 0 | 30 |
| 5D | 0 | 16 |
| 6D | 0 | 9 |
| 7D or more | 0 | 22 |
| Total >=3 D | 21 | 121 |
Key Financials for Parsons (PSN)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $6.8 Bil | $6.4 Bil |
| Operating Income | $451.4 Mil | $415.5 Mil |
| Net Income | $235.1 Mil | $241.1 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.6 Bil | $1.6 Bil |
| Operating Income | $99.7 Mil | $109.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $64.1 Mil | $55.6 Mil |
The losing streak PSN stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.