Time To Buy The Dip In Progress Software Stock?

PRGS: Progress Software logo
PRGS
Progress Software

Progress Software stock has fallen by 20.3% in less than a month, from levels of $64.66 on 6/10/2025 to $51.52 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks when broad market conditions are favorable, provided that the stock has a history of recovering from dips.

As it turns out, not only does Progress Software pass basic fundamental quality checks, but it has also returned (on average) 44% in one year, and 58% as peak return following sharp dips (>30% in 30 days) historically. That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.

Historical Median Returns Post Dips

 

Period Past Median Return
1M 13.0%
3M 36.3%
6M 14.3%
12M 44.1%

Historical Dip-Wise Details

PRGS had 1 events since 1/1/2020 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

Relevant Articles
  1. Nvidia Stock’s Cheap 25x Multiple The Loudest Warning Yet?
  2. What Could Rocket Advanced Micro Devices Stock to New Heights
  3. The Risk Factors to Watch Out For in Tesla Stock
  4. PayPal Stock: Strong Cash Flow Poised for a Re-Rating?
  5. Does Alphabet Stock Still Have Room to Run?
  6. Is Wall Street Underestimating Las Vegas Sands Stock’s Potential?

  • 58% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 311 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • -4.7% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

 

30 Day Dip PRGS Subsequent Performance
Date PRGS SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median 44% 58% -5% 311
3092020 -33% -17% 44% 58% -5% 311

Progress Software Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks

Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 12.8% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 13.3% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 26.0% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 2.9
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 2.9

Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.