Would You Still Hold Insulet Stock If It Fell Another 30%?

PODD: Insulet logo
PODD
Insulet

Insulet (PODD) stock is down 14.4% in 21 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around broader market weakness and potential GLP-1 drug impacts on Omnipod sales, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Insulet stands today.

  • Size: Insulet is a $20 Bil company with $2.5 Bil in revenue currently trading at $288.82.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 27.1% and operating margin of 17.3%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.05 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.25
  • Valuation: Insulet stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 82.5 and P/EBIT multiple of 55.9
  • Has returned (median) -23.1% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See PODD Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell PODD Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is PODD stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose PODD stock falls another 20-30% to $202 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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2022 Inflation Shock

  • PODD stock fell 61.3% from a high of $330.23 on 12 May 2023 to $127.77 on 12 October 2023 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 20 August 2025
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $352.82 on 9 September 2025 , and currently trades at $288.82

  PODD S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -61.3% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 678 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • PODD stock fell 39.9% from a high of $216.44 on 20 February 2020 to $130.01 on 18 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 8 May 2020

  PODD S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -39.9% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 51 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • PODD stock fell 33.0% from a high of $108.13 on 13 September 2018 to $72.44 on 3 January 2019 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 24 May 2019

  PODD S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -33.0% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 141 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • PODD stock fell 90.3% from a high of $27.46 on 30 November 2007 to $2.67 on 11 March 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 7 May 2013

  PODD S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -90.3% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 1,518 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about PODD stock? Consider portfolio approach.

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