PLTR Stock Falls -14% In 5-day Losing Spree On Analyst Downgrade, Sector Selloff
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) – a software platform for intelligence pattern analysis and operations – hit a 5-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to -14%. The company’s market cap has crashed by about $55 Bil over the last 5 days and currently stands at $348 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 17.5% compared to 1.4% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
[1] Weiss Ratings Downgrade
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- Weiss Ratings cut Palantir from a “buy (b-)” to a “hold (c+)” rating.
- The downgrade occurred just before the losing streak, contributing to the negative outlook.
- Impact: Negative market sentiment, Increased selling pressure
[2] Broader AI Sector Selloff & Valuation Concerns
- A broader selloff in the software and AI sector put pressure on highly valued stocks like PLTR.
- There are concerns about the company’s overstretched valuation, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio significantly above the sector median.
- Impact: Stock breaking key technical support at $150, Heightened investor caution pre-earnings
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in PLTR stock given its overall Very Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Very High valuation, the stock appears Attractive but Volatile (For details, see Buy or Sell PLTR).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -14% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PLTR stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PLTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -3.5% | -0.4% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | -13.6% | 0.3% |
| 1M (21D) | -18.9% | 0.6% |
| 3M (63D) | -26.3% | 0.7% |
| YTD 2026 | -17.5% | 1.4% |
| 2025 | 135.0% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 340.5% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 167.4% | 24.2% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: PLTR Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 48 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 71 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 28 | 25 |
| 4D | 13 | 21 |
| 5D | 5 | 11 |
| 6D | 2 | 8 |
| 7D or more | 0 | 6 |
| Total >=3 D | 48 | 71 |
Key Financials for Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $2.2 Bil | $2.9 Bil |
| Operating Income | $120.0 Mil | $310.4 Mil |
| Net Income | $209.8 Mil | $462.2 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.0 Bil | $1.2 Bil |
| Operating Income | $269.3 Mil | $393.3 Mil |
| Net Income | $326.7 Mil | $475.6 Mil |
The losing streak PLTR stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.