As PEP Surges 7.5% in a Day, KDP’s Story Stands Out

+9.84%
Upside
145
Market
159
Trefis
PEP: PepsiCo logo
PEP
PepsiCo

KDP offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and an attractive valuation.

  • KDP’s quarterly revenue grew 4.8%, vs. PEP’s -1.8%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 3.9%, ahead of PEP’s -0.4%.
  • KDP leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 21.6% and 3-year average of 21.0%.

That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Valuation & Performance Overview

  PEP KDP Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 15.6 13.7 KDP
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter -1.8% 4.8% KDP
Last 12 Months -0.4% 3.9% KDP
Last 3 Year Average 0.1% 3.4% KDP
     
Margins      
Last 12 Months 14.0% 21.6% KDP
Last 3 Year Average 13.8% 21.0% KDP
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return -6.8% -0.1% KDP

Historical Market Performance

Relevant Articles
  1. COKE, KDP Look Smarter Buy Than PepsiCo Stock
  2. Pay Less, Gain More: COKE, KDP Top PepsiCo Stock
  3. Better Value & Growth: KDP Leads PepsiCo Stock
  4. Ten-Year Tally: PepsiCo Stock Delivers $73 Bil Gain
  5. KDP Looks Smarter Buy Than PepsiCo Stock
  6. S&P 500 Movers | Winners: PEP, MKTX, AZO | Losers: SNPS, MOS, TER

  2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
PEP Return 12% 21% 7% -3% -8% -9% 17%  
KDP Return 13% 17% -1% -4% -1% 6% 31%  
S&P 500 Return 16% 27% -19% 24% 23% 6% 94% <===
Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEP Win Rate 58% 58% 50% 58% 33% 33%   49%  
KDP Win Rate 50% 50% 42% 42% 50% 67%   50%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 58% 75% 42% 67% 75% 50%   61% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
PEP Max Drawdown -23% -13% -11% -11% -8% -15%   -13%  
KDP Max Drawdown -32% -4% -6% -20% -13% -5%   -13%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -31% -1% -25% -1% -2% -15%   -12% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year