After A 15% Fall In The Last Month, Will Pegasystems Stock Rise?

PEGA: Pegasystems logo
PEGA
Pegasystems

Pegasystems stock (NASDAQ: PEGA) declined by 15% in the last twenty-one trading days. In comparison, the broader S&P500 index fell by 1.4% over the same period. The company develops software for customer relationship management, robotic process automation, and business process management. The stock has fallen since the start of FY 2022, similar to all growth stocks, as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that an increase in interest rates will be sooner rather than later, which has shifted investors toward safer assets. The fall continued after weaker than expected FY 2021 results. Now, is PEGA stock poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a 65% chance of a rise in PEGA stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on Pegasystems Stock Chance Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: PEGA -17%, vs. S&P500 -4.1%; Underperformed market

(<1% event probability)

  • Pegasystems stock declined 17% over a five day trading period, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which fell by 4.1%
  • A change of -17% or more over five trading days has less than 1% event probability, which has occurred 8 times out of 2515 in the last ten years
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Ten Days: PEGA -20%, vs. S&P500 -6.4%; Underperformed market

(<1% event probability)

  • Pegasystems stock declined 20% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) which fell by 6.4%
  • A change of -20% or more over ten trading days has less than 1% event probability, which has occurred 10 times out of 2516 in the last ten years

Twenty-One Days: PEGA -15%, vs. S&P500 -1.4%; Underperformed market

(4% event probability)

  • Pegasystems stock declined 15% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) which fell by 1.4%
  • A change of -15% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 4% event probability, which has occurred 100 times out of 2516 in the last ten years

Check out how Pegasystems Peers fare on metrics that matter. You will find other useful comparisons for companies across industries at Peer Comparisons.

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016.

Returns Feb 2022
MTD [1]
2022
YTD [1]
2017-22
Total [2]
 PEGA Return -18% -27% 126%
 S&P 500 Return -5% -10% 92%
 Trefis MS Portfolio Return -3% -12% 246%

[1] Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 2/25/2022
[2] Cumulative total returns since the end of 2016

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