Oracle Stock Capital Return Hits $161 Bil
In the last decade, Oracle (ORCL) stock has returned an impressive $161 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.
As it turns out, ORCL stock has returned the 8th highest amount to shareholders in history.
| ORCL | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends | $34 Bil | $4.5 Bil |
| Share Repurchase | $126 Bil | $5.5 Bil |
| Total Returned | $161 Bil | $9.1 Bil |
| Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap | 18.2% | 25.3% |
Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more stocks like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.
Single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach. If you seek an upside with less volatility than holding an individual stock, consider the High Quality Portfolio (HQ) – HQ has outperformed its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index, and achieved returns exceeding 105% since its inception. Risk management is key – consider, what could long-term portfolio performance be if you blended 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto with HQ’s performance metrics.
Top 10 Stocks By Total Shareholder Return
| Total Money Returned | As % Of Current Market Cap | via Dividends | via Share Repurchases | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | $847 Bil | 23.0% | $141 Bil | $706 Bil |
| MSFT | $364 Bil | 9.6% | $165 Bil | $199 Bil |
| GOOGL | $343 Bil | 11.3% | $12 Bil | $331 Bil |
| XOM | $212 Bil | 44.3% | $145 Bil | $67 Bil |
| WFC | $208 Bil | 76.7% | $59 Bil | $150 Bil |
| JPM | $174 Bil | 20.9% | $0.0 | $174 Bil |
| META | $167 Bil | 9.3% | $6.4 Bil | $160 Bil |
| ORCL | $161 Bil | 18.2% | $34 Bil | $126 Bil |
| JNJ | $157 Bil | 33.9% | $104 Bil | $52 Bil |
| CVX | $153 Bil | 58.5% | $97 Bil | $55 Bil |
For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking
What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Stocks like Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.
That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for ORCL. (see Buy or Sell Oracle Stock for more details)
Oracle Fundamentals
- Revenue Growth: 9.7% LTM and 10.2% last 3-year average.
- Cash Generation: Nearly -10.0% free cash flow margin and 31.6% operating margin LTM.
- Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for ORCL was 5.6%.
- Valuation: Oracle stock trades at a P/E multiple of 71.1
- Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, higher revenue growth, and better operating margins
| ORCL | S&P Median | |
|---|---|---|
| Sector | Information Technology | – |
| Industry | Application Software | – |
| PE Ratio | 71.1 | 23.9 |
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| LTM* Revenue Growth | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| 3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y | 5.6% | -0.1% |
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| LTM* Operating Margin | 31.6% | 18.6% |
| 3Y Average Operating Margin | 30.3% | 17.8% |
| LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin | -10.0% | 13.2% |
*LTM: Last Twelve Months
That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.
ORCL Historical Risk
That said, Oracle isn’t immune to big drops. It plunged nearly 77% in the Dot-Com Bubble and slid over 41% during the Global Financial Crisis. The Inflation Shock wasn’t kind either, with a 40% dip. Even the smaller events — 2018 Correction and Covid Pandemic — pushed it down around 19% and 29% respectively. Solid fundamentals matter, but when sell-offs hit, Oracle can see serious pullbacks.
The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.