NVIDIA or ON Semiconductor: Which Stock Has More Upside?

ON: ON Semiconductor logo
ON
ON Semiconductor

ON Semiconductor surged 31% during the past month. You may be tempted to buy more or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer NVIDIA gives you more. NVIDIA (NVDA) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs ON Semiconductor (ON) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in NVDA

  • NVDA’s quarterly revenue growth was 85.2%, vs. ON’s 4.7%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 70.7%, ahead of ON’s -9.0%.
  • NVDA leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 64.0% and 3-year average of 60.6%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how ON’s fundamentals stack up against those of NVDA on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Trefis: ON Stock Insights

Valuation & Performance Overview

ON NVDA Preferred
Valuation
P/EBIT Ratio 49.7 32.1 NVDA
Revenue Growth
Last Quarter 4.7% 85.2% NVDA
Last 12 Months -9.0% 70.7% NVDA
Last 3 Year Average -9.8% 121.7% NVDA
Operating Margins
Last 12 Months 17.5% 64.0% NVDA
Last 3 Year Average 22.9% 60.6% NVDA
Momentum
Last 3 Year Return 54.2% 446.5% NVDA

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell NVDA Stock and Buy or Sell ON Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
ON Return 108% -8% 34% -25% -14% 138% 293%
NVDA Return 125% -50% 239% 171% 39% 19% 1612% <===
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 11% 103%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
ON Win Rate 83% 42% 67% 33% 50% 83% 60%
NVDA Win Rate 58% 42% 75% 75% 67% 67% 64%
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 67% 65% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
ON Max Drawdown -21% -34% -42% -27% -50% -23% -33%
NVDA Max Drawdown -24% -63% -18% -27% -37% -16% -31%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -5% -25% -10% -8% -19% -9% -13% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/3/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read NVDA Dip Buyer Analyses and ON Dip Buyer Analyses to see how these stocks have fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about ON or NVDA? Consider a portfolio approach.

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