Ten-Year Tally: MSFT Hands Back $364 Bil to Shareholders

+26.29%
Upside
475
Market
600
Trefis
MSFT: Microsoft logo
MSFT
Microsoft

In the last decade, Microsoft (MSFT) has returned a massive $364 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, MSFT has returned the 2nd highest amount to shareholders in history.

  MSFT S&P Median
Dividends $165 Bil $4.5 Bil
Share Repurchase $199 Bil $5.5 Bil
Total Returned $364 Bil $9.1 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 9.6% 25.4%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more companies like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Companies By Total Shareholder Return

Relevant Articles
  1. Is Microsoft Stock Heading for a Fall?
  2. Microsoft Stock To $344?
  3. Microsoft Stock Hands $368 Bil Back – Worth a Look?
  4. Microsoft Stock Capital Return Hits $368 Bil
  5. Ten-Year Tally: Microsoft Stock Delivers $368 Bil Gain
  6. Microsoft Stock And The AI Bubble

  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $847 Bil 22.1% $141 Bil $706 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.7% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 11.5% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $212 Bil 42.4% $145 Bil $67 Bil
WFC $208 Bil 76.4% $59 Bil $150 Bil
META $178 Bil 9.5% $7.7 Bil $171 Bil
JPM $174 Bil 19.9% $0.0 $174 Bil
ORCL $163 Bil 19.9% $34 Bil $129 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 36.6% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $153 Bil 55.2% $97 Bil $55 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Companies like META and MSFT are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for MSFT. (see Buy or Sell MSFT Stock for more details)

MSFT Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 14.9% LTM and 12.5% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly 25.4% free cash flow margin and 45.6% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for MSFT was 6.9%.
  • Valuation: MSFT trades at a P/E multiple of 37.3
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, higher revenue growth, and better margins

  MSFT S&P Median
Sector Information Technology
Industry Systems Software
PE Ratio 37.3 23.8

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 14.9% 5.1%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 12.5% 5.3%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 6.9% -0.1%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 45.6% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 44.0% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin 25.4% 13.3%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

MSFT Historical Risk

That said, Microsoft isn’t immune to big drops either. It fell about 65% during the Dot-Com crash and nearly 58% in the Global Financial Crisis. Even more recent shocks caused sizable dips — around 37% in the inflation shock and nearly 28% during the Covid sell-off. The smaller 2018 correction still knocked it down by over 18%. Strong fundamentals matter, but when the market sells off hard, even top names like MSFT get caught up in the slide.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.