Which Is A Better Pick: Amazon Or Meta?
Question: Why invest in Amazon stock (NASDAQ: AMZN) at 38 times earnings when Meta stock (NASDAQ: META) is available at a lower multiple of 29? You wouldn’t, especially when you consider these simple facts:
- Growth: Meta is experiencing significantly faster revenue growth than Amazon. Over the last twelve months, Meta’s revenue has grown by over 19%, which is nearly double Amazon’s growth rate of around 10%. This indicates a more rapid expansion of Meta’s business.
- Margins: Meta’s profit margins of over 42% are significantly higher than Amazon’s operating margin of around 11%. This means that a larger share of every dollar of revenue growth at Meta directly translates into profit, implying that Meta is better positioned to deliver a higher return to shareholders from its revenue growth compared to Amazon.
- Financial Position: Meta has a stronger financial position than Amazon, largely due to its superior debt and cash management. Meta’s debt-to-equity ratio is 2.7%, significantly lower than Amazon’s 5.5%. This indicates that Meta relies less on debt financing. Additionally, Meta has a higher cash-to-assets ratio of 25.1%, compared to Amazon’s 13.7%, suggesting it holds more liquid assets relative to its total assets.
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META Is Uniquely Positioned to Capitalize on the AI Revolution
Potential Risks to Consider
- A primary concern is the potential for slowing revenue growth. The current economic climate may lead businesses to cut back on advertising spending, a key source of Meta’s revenue. This could cause the company’s growth rate to decelerate in the near future. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as economic downturns and high interest rates, could make growth stocks less attractive compared to more stable, fixed-income investments.
- Competition in the AI space is intensifying, posing a significant threat to Meta’s technological moat. The emergence of cost-efficient AI solutions raises questions about whether Meta’s massive infrastructure investments will be enough to maintain its competitive edge. Furthermore, regulatory pressures are a constant risk. Governments, particularly in Europe and Asia, are increasingly scrutinizing social media platforms, which could limit Meta’s ability to monetize user data and impact its business model.
- META stock isn’t immune to market downturns and it has demonstrated significant volatility. For example, during the 2022 inflation shock, Meta’s stock price plummeted over 75%. Similarly, it dropped about 35% in 2020 amid the uncertainty of the pandemic. These historical downturns underscore that Meta is not exactly a safe investment and is highly susceptible to market-wide events.
Despite these potential challenges, for long-term investors with a 3-5 year horizon who are comfortable with volatility, Meta, even at its current levels, could represent an interesting entry point into the burgeoning AI market. For those seeking strategies to navigate market downturns and potentially capitalize on them, exploring options like the Trefis Reinforced Value (RV) Portfolio, which has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 benchmark indices) to produce strong returns for investors, or consulting a financial advisor with experience in bear markets, could be beneficial. Remember, significant wealth can be generated in the market by those who maintain a calm and strategic approach during periods of volatility.
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