Lamb Weston Stock 5-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -30%
Lamb Weston (LW) stock hit day 5-day losing streak, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -30%. The company market cap has crashed by about $2.5 Bil over the last 5 days, and currently stands at $5.8 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 35.8% compared to 17.5% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Slide?
| Catalyst | Details | Impact | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disappointing Full-Year Guidance |
|
|
2025-12-19 |
Opportunity or Trap?
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- Five-Year Tally: Lowe’s Companies Stock Delivers $50 Bil Gain
- Five-Year Tally: Mastercard Stock Delivers $60 Bil Gain
Below is our take on valuation.
There are a few things to fear in LW stock given its overall Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Low valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell LW).
But here is the real interesting point.
You are reading about this -30% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To avoid the next loser before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. Our High Quality Portfolio has a risk model designed to reduce exposure to losers.
Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for LW stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | LW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -2.3% | 0.5% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | -30.1% | 1.6% |
| 1M (21D) | -27.5% | 4.6% |
| 3M (63D) | -21.8% | 4.1% |
| YTD 2025 | -35.8% | 17.5% |
| 2024 | -37.0% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 22.3% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 42.9% | -19.4% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: LW Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 95 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 39 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 35 | 17 |
| 4D | 49 | 10 |
| 5D | 9 | 3 |
| 6D | 1 | 7 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 95 | 39 |
Key Financials for Lamb Weston (LW)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $6.5 Bil | $6.5 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.1 Bil | $765.1 Mil |
| Net Income | $725.5 Mil | $357.2 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2026 FQ1 | 2026 FQ2 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.7 Bil | $1.6 Bil |
| Operating Income | $188.8 Mil | $153.3 Mil |
| Net Income | $64.3 Mil | $62.1 Mil |
The losing streak LW stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.