Leidos Stock To $218?
Leidos (LDOS) stock has fallen by 11.4% in less than a month, from $194.72 on 10th Feb, 2026 to $172.51 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Leidos Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, LDOS stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 23%, with median peak return reaching 38%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 6.3% |
| 3M | 8.5% |
| 6M | 4.8% |
| 12M | 23.4% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
LDOS had 7 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 38% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 315 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -11% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | LDOS Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | LDOS | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 23% | 38% | -11% | 315 | ||||
| 12182024 | -23% | 2% | 29% | 38% | -13% | 321 | ||
| 3162020 | -22% | -25% | 23% | 48% | -9% | 315 | ||
| 12212018 | -21% | -14% | 93% | 94% | -2% | 364 | ||
| 2012016 | -21% | -6% | 48% | 60% | -11% | 309 | ||
| 3272014 | -21% | 2% | 23% | 37% | -4% | 361 | ||
| 9302013 | -26% | 2% | -22% | 9% | -25% | 52 | ||
| 9012011 | -22% | -10% | -3% | 5% | -18% | 202 | ||
Leidos Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 3.1% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 6.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 10.2% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 10.4 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 5.5 |
Not sure if you can take a call on LDOS stock? Consider portfolio approach
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