Down 22%, Is KDP Stock A Buy Now?

+31.05%
Upside
28.69
Market
37.60
Trefis
KDP: Keurig Dr Pepper logo
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper

Keurig Dr Pepper stock has fallen by 21.5% in less than a month, from levels of $35.20 on 8/21/2025 to $27.63 now. Should you buy this dip? Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips.
 
As it turns out, Keurig Dr Pepper passes basic quality checks. However, it only has one past instance where it dipped sharply (>30% in 30 days), and returned 78% in one year and 78% as peak return subsequently. KDP operates as a beverage company offering coffee systems, packaged beverages, concentrates, and Latin American products to retailers, distributors, restaurants, hotels, offices, and consumers.

Price behaviour is one thing, but what do the fundamentals say? Read Buy or Sell KDP Stock to see the full picture.
 
That said, if you seek upside with lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio presents an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since its inception.
 
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
 

Period Past Median Return
1M 37.8%
3M 46.7%
6M 48.7%
12M 77.7%

 
Historical Dip-Wise Details
 
KDP had 1 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered

  • 78% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
  • 365 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
  • 0% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event

Relevant Articles
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  2. Pay Less, Gain More: COKE, KDP Top PepsiCo Stock
  3. Better Value & Growth: KDP Leads PepsiCo Stock
  4. Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Hits Key Support – Buying Opportunity?
  5. KDP Looks Smarter Buy Than PepsiCo Stock
  6. KDP Dips 16% In One Month, Time To Buy The Stock?

30 Day Dip KDP Subsequent Performance
Date KDP SPY 1Y Peak
Return
Max
Drop
# Days
to Peak
Median     78% 78% 0% 365
3162020 -31% -25% 78% 78% 0% 365

 
Keurig Dr Pepper Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
 
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.

Quality Metrics Value Quality Check
Revenue Growth (LTM) 4.6% Pass
Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) 5.9% Pass
Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) 13.4% Pass
Leverage (see below) Pass
=> Interest Coverage Ratio 4.0  
=> Cash To Interest Expense Ratio 0.7  

 
Dip buying, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P, and clocked >91% returns since inception.