Can Intuitive Surgical Stock Recover If Markets Fall?

+33.32%
Upside
461
Market
615
Trefis
ISRG: Intuitive Surgical logo
ISRG
Intuitive Surgical

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) stock is down 17.6% in 21 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around slowing da Vinci procedure growth and institutional selling, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Intuitive Surgical stands today.

  • Size: Intuitive Surgical is a $173 Bil company with $10 Bil in revenue currently trading at $488.15.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 20.5% and operating margin of 29.3%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.0 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.29
  • Valuation: Intuitive Surgical stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 60.7 and P/EBIT multiple of 58.8
  • Has returned (median) 44.8% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See ISRG Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Relatively Expensive. For details, see Buy or Sell ISRG Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is ISRG stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose ISRG stock falls another 20-30% to $342 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock saw an impact slightly better than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

Relevant Articles
  1. Better Value & Growth: PODD Leads Intuitive Surgical Stock
  2. Stronger Bet Than Intuitive Surgical Stock: PODD Delivers More
  3. Pay Less, Gain More: PODD Tops Intuitive Surgical Stock
  4. Better Value & Growth: PODD Leads Intuitive Surgical Stock
  5. PODD Looks Smarter Buy Than Intuitive Surgical Stock
  6. PODD Tops Intuitive Surgical Stock on Price & Potential

Trefis

2022 Inflation Shock

  • ISRG stock fell 49.9% from a high of $365.42 on 8 November 2021 to $183.06 on 14 October 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 18 January 2024
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $610.45 on 22 January 2025 , and currently trades at $488.15

  ISRG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -49.9% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 461 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • ISRG stock fell 40.5% from a high of $206.10 on 20 February 2020 to $122.58 on 23 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 17 July 2020

  ISRG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -40.5% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 116 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • ISRG stock fell 24.3% from a high of $191.58 on 1 October 2018 to $144.96 on 24 December 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 21 March 2019

  ISRG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -24.3% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 87 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • ISRG stock fell 75.9% from a high of $39.32 on 10 April 2008 to $9.48 on 2 March 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 1 March 2010

  ISRG S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -75.9% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 364 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about ISRG stock? Consider portfolio approach.

Portfolios Beat Stock Picking

Single stocks swing wildly but staying invested matters. A well built portfolio helps you stay invested, captures upside and softens the blows from individual stocks

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.