Between Microsoft and Fortinet, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out?

FTNT: Fortinet logo
FTNT
Fortinet

Fortinet surged 5.2% during the past Day. You may be tempted to buy more, or may want to reduce your exposure. But there is an entirely different perspective you might be missing. Is there a better alternative? Turns out, its peer Microsoft gives you more. Microsoft (MSFT) stock offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation vs Fortinet (FTNT) stock, suggesting you may be better off investing in MSFT

  • MSFT’s quarterly revenue growth was 18.4%, vs. FTNT’s 14.4%.
  • In addition, its Last 12 Months revenue growth came in at 15.6%, ahead of FTNT’s 14.8%.
  • MSFT leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 46.3% and 3-year average of 44.6%.

These differences become even clearer when you look at the financials side by side. The table highlights how FTNT’s fundamentals stack up against those of MSFT on growth, margins, momentum, and valuation multiples.

Valuation & Performance Overview

  FTNT MSFT Preferred
     
Valuation      
P/EBIT Ratio 30.3 25.5 MSFT
     
Revenue Growth      
Last Quarter 14.4% 18.4% MSFT
Last 12 Months 14.8% 15.6% MSFT
Last 3 Year Average 17.1% 13.2% FTNT
     
Operating Margins      
Last 12 Months 31.0% 46.3% MSFT
Last 3 Year Average 27.6% 44.6% MSFT
     
Momentum      
Last 3 Year Return 61.6% 96.7% MSFT

Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: FTNT Revenue Comparison | MSFT Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: FTNT Operating Income Comparison | MSFT Operating Income Comparison

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See detailed fundamentals on Buy or Sell MSFT Stock and Buy or Sell FTNT Stock. Below we compare market return and related metrics across years.

Historical Market Performance

  2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total [1] Avg Best
Returns
FTNT Return 142% -32% 20% 61% -16% -2% 161%   <===
MSFT Return 52% -28% 58% 13% 16% -7% 111%    
S&P 500 Return 27% -19% 24% 23% 16% 1% 84%    
Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTNT Win Rate 75% 42% 58% 58% 50% 0%   47%  
MSFT Win Rate 75% 25% 67% 58% 42% 0%   44%  
S&P 500 Win Rate 75% 42% 67% 75% 67% 100%   71% <===
Max Drawdowns [4]
FTNT Max Drawdown -7% -36% -3% -5% -21% -5%   -13%  
MSFT Max Drawdown -5% -36% -7% -2% -16% -8%   -12%  
S&P 500 Max Drawdown -1% -25% -1% -2% -15% -1%   -7% <===

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/23/2026 (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year

No matter how good the numbers, stock investment is never a smooth ride. There is a risk you must factor in. Read FTNT Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has fallen and recovered in the past.

Still not sure about FTNT or MSFT? Consider portfolio approach.

The Best Investors Think In Portfolios

Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio keeps you invested, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.