Expedia Stock To $265?
Expedia (EXPE) stock has fallen by 28.5% in less than a month, from $285.11 on 16th Jan, 2026 to $203.79 now. What comes next? We believe there is a good chance of a stock rebound considering history of recovery post-dips and our current Attractive opinion of the stock. Read Buy or Sell Expedia Stock to see how we arrive at this opinion.
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, EXPE stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 27%, with median peak return reaching 36%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 30% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 0.0% |
| 3M | 15.0% |
| 6M | 0.0% |
| 12M | 27.1% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
EXPE had 5 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -30% within 30 days was triggered
- 36% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 275 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -30% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | EXPE Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | EXPE | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 27% | 36% | -30% | 275 | ||||
| 2182026 | -30% | -0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | ||
| 4082025 | -31% | -16% | 48% | 122% | 0% | 275 | ||
| 5062022 | -32% | -9% | -30% | 2% | -37% | 27 | ||
| 3122020 | -40% | -24% | 168% | 168% | -30% | 365 | ||
| 11212019 | -30% | 6% | 27% | 36% | -52% | 354 | ||
Expedia Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 7.6% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 8.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 26.3% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 6.3 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 19.2 |
Not sure if you can take a call on EXPE stock? Consider portfolio approach
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