DELL’s 5.9% Single Day Rise Brings Valuations Into Focus – Is HPE a Better Deal?
HPE offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- HPE’s quarterly revenue grew 5.9%, vs. DELL’s 5.1%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 11.8%, ahead of DELL’s 7.7%.
- HPE leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 7.0% and 3-year average of 7.9%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| DELL | HPE | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 14.0 | 12.6 | HPE |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 5.1% | 5.9% | HPE |
| Last 12 Months | 7.7% | 11.8% | HPE |
| Last 3 Year Average | -2.4% | 4.5% | HPE |
| Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 6.7% | 7.0% | HPE |
| Last 3 Year Average | 6.0% | 7.9% | HPE |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 228.9% | 75.4% | DELL |
Historical Market Performance
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| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| DELL Return | 43% | 52% | -27% | 96% | 53% | 9% | 426% | <=== | |
| HPE Return | -22% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 29% | -1% | 56% | ||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 7% | 94% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| DELL Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 33% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 62% | <=== | |
| HPE Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 53% | ||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | ||
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| DELL Max Drawdown | -44% | -3% | -39% | -8% | -2% | -38% | -22% | ||
| HPE Max Drawdown | -50% | -2% | -22% | -13% | -12% | -41% | -23% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year