Dominion Energy Stock Pulls Back to Support. Smart Time to Enter?

D: Dominion Energy logo
D
Dominion Energy

Dominion Energy (D) stock should be on your watchlist. Here is why – it is currently trading in the support zone ($57.54 – $63.60), levels from which it has bounced meaningfully before. In the last 10 years, Dominion Energy stock received buying interest at this level 6 times and subsequently went on to generate 14.5% in average peak returns.

Peak Return Days to Peak Return
3/15/2019 4.1% 101
8/2/2019 21.1% 215
3/30/2020 14.6% 231
1/15/2021 13.0% 217
10/18/2021 7.4% 3
12/1/2021 26.9% 128

But is the price action enough alone? It certainly helps if the fundamentals check out. For D Read Buy or Sell D Stock to see how convincing this buy opportunity might be.

Single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader diversified approach we take with Trefis High Quality Portfolio. We go beyond just equities. Is a portfolio of 10% commodities, 10% gold, and 2% crypto in addition to equities and bonds – likely to return more during the next 1-3 years, and protect you better if markets crash 20%? We have crunched the numbers.

Here are some quick data points for Dominion Energy that should help decision:

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  • Revenue Growth: 5.3% LTM and 7.5% last 3 year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly -53.0% free cash flow margin and 29.7% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in last 3 years for D was -2.4%.
  • Valuation: D stock trades at a PE multiple of 22.6
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get lower valuation, higher revenue growth, and better operating margins

For quick background, Dominion Energy provides energy production and distribution through multiple regional segments, managing a portfolio of approximately 30.2 gigawatts of electric generating capacity.

D S&P Median
Sector Utilities
Industry Multi-Utilities
PE Ratio 22.6 24.0

LTM* Revenue Growth 5.3% 5.2%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 7.5% 5.3%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y -2.4% -0.1%

LTM* Operating Margin 29.7% 18.6%
3Y Average Operating Margin 27.0% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin -53.0% 13.3%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

What Is Stock-Specific Risk If The Market Crashes?

That said, Stock D isn’t immune to big drops. It fell about 25% in both the Dot-Com bubble and the 2018 correction. The Covid sell-off hit it for around 33%, while the Global Financial Crisis knocked it down over 41%. The worst was the Inflation Shock, with a 52% plunge. Even solid setups can take a hit when the market turns sour.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.