6-Day Rally Sends Clearwater Analytics Stock Up 13%
Clearwater Analytics (CWAN) stock hit day 6-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 13%. The company market cap has surged by about $809 Mil over the last 6 days, and currently stands at $6.9 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 12.4% compared to 17.5% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
| Catalyst | Details | Impact | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| $8.4 Billion Take-Private Acquisition by Permira and Warburg Pincus |
|
|
2025-12-22 |
Opportunity or Trap?
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Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in CWAN stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. This is aligned with the stock’s High valuation because of which we think it is Fairly Priced (For details, see Buy or Sell CWAN).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for CWAN stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | CWAN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | 13.2% | 1.4% |
| 1M (21D) | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| 3M (63D) | 32.8% | 4.1% |
| YTD 2025 | -12.4% | 17.5% |
| 2024 | 37.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 6.8% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -18.4% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has CWAN behaved after prior drops? See CWAN Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 95 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 39 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 35 | 17 |
| 4D | 49 | 10 |
| 5D | 9 | 3 |
| 6D | 1 | 7 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 95 | 39 |
Key Financials for Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $368.2 Mil | $451.8 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-16.7 Mil | $12.2 Mil |
| Net Income | $-21.6 Mil | $424.4 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $181.9 Mil | $205.1 Mil |
| Operating Income | $-14.6 Mil | $6.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $-23.2 Mil | $-10.3 Mil |
While CWAN stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.