Tearsheet

Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.5 | Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $21.5
Market Cap: $6.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 2193x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 57x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -39%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 2193x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 57x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CWAN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Potential Takeover Interest. Reports emerged in mid-November 2025 that private equity firms Warburg Pincus and Permira were in talks to acquire Clearwater Analytics, leading to an increase in the stock price. The stock posted a significant 8.53% return over the week ending November 18, 2025, following these reports.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. Clearwater Analytics released its third-quarter earnings on November 5, 2025. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16. However, revenue for the quarter was $205.11 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $203.66 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CWAN Return---18%7%37%-24%-8%
Peers Return13%-2%-7%5%55%836%1483%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CWAN Win Rate-33%50%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate13%10%9%30%44%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CWAN Max Drawdown---48%-27%-21%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-5%-4%-8%-15%-8%-51% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCWANS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven839 days464 days

Compare to ADSK, HIT, BMR, BTTC, CCC


In The Past

Clearwater Analytics's stock fell -54.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/22/2021. A -54.2% loss requires a 118.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)

Better Bets than Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CWAN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Clearwater Analytics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CWANADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameClearwat.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Price21.30307.241.292.223.427.565.49
Mkt Cap6.165.40.1---6.1
Rev LTM6406,60527-21,026640
Op Inc LTM01,5151--0651
FCF LTM821,8471--255169
FCF 3Y Avg921,704---216216
CFO LTM911,9254--310201
CFO 3Y Avg991,775---271271

Growth & Margins

CWANADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameClearwat.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM50.9%13.8%29.7%--10.6%21.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.9%11.7%---10.2%11.7%
Rev Chg Q77.1%17.1%86.2%--12.0%47.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM16.2%4.1%19.3%--2.9%10.1%
Op Mgn LTM0.0%22.9%5.0%--3.8%6.3%5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.4%21.5%---6.9%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.8%-0.1%---0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.3%29.1%13.5%--30.2%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.2%30.7%---29.0%29.0%
FCF/Rev LTM12.8%28.0%4.9%--24.9%18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.7%29.5%---23.1%23.1%

Valuation

CWANADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameClearwat.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
Mkt Cap6.165.40.1---6.1
P/S8.110.01.8---8.1
P/EBIT2,193.346.724.6---46.7
P/E13.263.235.8---35.8
P/CFO56.834.313.5---34.3
Total Yield7.6%1.6%2.8%---2.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.9%3.3%----2.6%
D/E0.20.00.0---0.0
Net D/E0.20.0-0.2---0.0

Returns

CWANADSKHITBMRBTTCCCCMedian
NameClearwat.Autodesk Health I.Beamr Im.Black Ti.CCC Inte. 
1M Rtn17.4%1.2%-52.2%-12.3%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Rtn5.4%-3.2%-53.8%-20.1%-14.5%-64.8%-17.3%
6M Rtn-7.9%3.0%104.0%-30.6%-14.5%-64.8%-11.2%
12M Rtn-28.1%2.8%--27.5%4,785.7%-64.8%-27.5%
3Y Rtn13.3%52.8%--3,320.0%-64.8%33.0%
1M Excs Rtn17.4%1.2%-52.2%-12.2%-3.1%-13.3%-7.7%
3M Excs Rtn0.3%-9.3%-59.4%-23.1%-19.8%-70.2%-21.5%
6M Excs Rtn-22.6%-11.7%89.3%-45.3%-29.2%-79.6%-25.9%
12M Excs Rtn-44.9%-8.3%--45.7%4,643.1%-78.4%-44.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-53.8%-15.5%--3,299.3%-137.6%-34.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,805,429
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202521.1%
Average Daily Volume8,344,918
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.85
Basic Shares Quantity287,979,411
Short % of Basic Shares8.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022303202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021