CW Stock Surges 12% In A 6-day Winning Spree On Record Earnings Beat
Curtiss-Wright (CW) – a provider of aerospace, defense, and industrial electronic control systems. – hit a 6-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to 12%. The company’s market cap has surged by about $2.7 Bil over the last 6 days and currently stands at $26 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 28.3% compared to 0.9% for S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Q4 2025 Record Earnings and Strong 2026 Outlook
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- Q4 Adjusted EPS of $3.79 beat estimates, up 16% YoY
- Record full-year 2025 sales, orders, and backlog
- Impact: Stock surged 7.57% in pre-market trading post-announcement, Reached a new 52-week high
[2] Multiple Analyst Price Target Hikes
- Stifel raised target to $650, Morgan Stanley reiterated ‘Overweight’
- Deutsche Bank increased target to $748
- Impact: Reinforced positive investor sentiment, Increased ‘Moderate Buy’ consensus rating
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There are only a couple of things to fear in CW stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive (For details, see Buy or Sell CW).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for CW stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | CW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | 11.5% | -0.5% |
| 1M (21D) | 6.8% | 0.5% |
| 3M (63D) | 31.8% | 4.4% |
| YTD 2026 | 28.3% | 0.9% |
| 2025 | 55.7% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 59.7% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 34.0% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has CW behaved after prior drops? See CW Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 64 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 32 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 36 | 13 |
| 4D | 10 | 15 |
| 5D | 13 | 0 |
| 6D | 4 | 2 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 2 |
| Total >=3 D | 64 | 32 |
Key Financials for Curtiss-Wright (CW)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $3.1 Bil | $3.5 Bil |
| Operating Income | $543.0 Mil | $638.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $405.0 Mil | $484.2 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ3 | 2025 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $869.2 Mil | $947.0 Mil |
| Operating Income | $167.1 Mil | $183.5 Mil |
| Net Income | $124.8 Mil | $137.0 Mil |
While CW stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.