CRK Stock Surges 15% With A 6-day Winning Spree On Mizuho’s $29 Target
Comstock Resources (CRK) stock hit day 6-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to a 15%. The company market cap has surged by about $902 Mil over the last 6 days, and currently stands at $7.0 Bil.
The stock has YTD (year-to-date) return of 32.4% compared to 17.4% for S&P 500. This calls for re-evaluation of stock’s valuation, and find out whether this is an opportunity, or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] Analyst Price Target Increase and Positive Natural Gas Sentiment
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- Mizuho raised price target to $29.00
- Rising natural gas futures on colder weather forecasts
- Impact: Sustained buying pressure, Increased investor confidence
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is a near-equal mix of good and bad in CRK stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Moderate valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell CRK).
But here is the real interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for CRK stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | CRK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 2.5% | -0.3% |
| 6D (Current Streak) | 14.7% | 1.9% |
| 1M (21D) | -5.2% | 1.4% |
| 3M (63D) | 19.2% | 3.7% |
| YTD 2025 | 32.4% | 17.4% |
| 2024 | 105.9% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | -32.4% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 70.6% | -19.4% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has CRK behaved after prior drops? See CRK Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 86 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 21 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 49 | 6 |
| 4D | 8 | 14 |
| 5D | 17 | 1 |
| 6D | 5 | 0 |
| 7D or more | 7 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 86 | 21 |
Key Financials for Comstock Resources (CRK)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.6 Bil | $1.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $226.5 Mil | $-169.5 Mil |
| Net Income | $211.9 Mil | $-218.8 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $470.3 Mil | $449.9 Mil |
| Operating Income | $89.4 Mil | $52.7 Mil |
| Net Income | $124.8 Mil | $111.1 Mil |
While CRK stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.