How Will CNH Industrial Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
CNH Industrial (NYSE:CNH) is scheduled to report its earnings on Monday, November 9, 2026. The company has a market value of about $13.9 billion. Over the last twelve months it generated $18.2 billion in revenue and net income of $311 million.
How the stock moves after the release will depend on how the results and outlook compare with expectations. What history can offer is the base rate: how often, and how far, the stock has moved after past reports.
See the earnings reaction history of all stocks
Image by Marc Pascual from Pixabay
CNH Industrial’s Historical Odds Of A Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns, measured from the last close before each release:
- There are 15 earnings releases in our record, going back to February 2023, with 9 positive and 6 negative one-day (1D) returns. Positive 1D returns were seen 60% of the time.
- Over the last three years that share rises to 67%, across 12 releases.
- The median of the 9 positive 1D returns is 4.7%, and the median of the 6 negative ones is -7.2%.
- The largest one-day reactions were 7.3% and -10.6%.
The table below shows the 1D, 5-day (5D) and 21-day (21D) returns after each release, followed by summary statistics.
| Earnings Date | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/3/2026 | 5.4% | 6.4% | 15.4% |
| 4/30/2026 | 6.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| 2/17/2026 | 2.7% | -0.2% | -16.7% |
| 11/7/2025 | -5.8% | -1.6% | -8.8% |
| 8/1/2025 | -3.8% | -4.0% | -11.7% |
| 5/1/2025 | 7.3% | 5.4% | 10.1% |
| 2/4/2025 | 1.4% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
| 11/8/2024 | -8.3% | -8.3% | 3.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | 4.7% | -5.6% | -1.2% |
| 5/2/2024 | 3.1% | 2.8% | -2.9% |
| 2/14/2024 | 6.2% | 1.1% | 5.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | -10.6% | -13.6% | -3.4% |
| 7/28/2023 | -6.1% | -8.0% | -14.9% |
| 5/5/2023 | 4.2% | 1.5% | -3.6% |
| 2/2/2023 | -8.8% | -10.4% | -4.9% |
| Statistic | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Positive | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 6 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -5.6% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 7.3% | 7.3% | 15.4% |
| Max Negative | -10.6% | -13.6% | -16.7% |
Does The First Move Carry On?
Another approach is to wait for the initial reaction and ask whether it tends to continue. The table below shows the correlation between the 1D return and the return over the following 5 and 21 trading days, and between the 5D return and the following 21 trading days. A value near 1 means the first move has tended to continue; near -1, to reverse; near 0, no consistent pattern. All six readings are mildly negative, between -0.24 and -0.34, so first moves have tended to reverse partly, but none is strong enough to trade on.
| History | 1D vs next 5D | 1D vs next 21D | 5D vs next 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| Since Feb 2023 | -0.24 | -0.30 | -0.31 |
| 3 Years | -0.27 | -0.32 | -0.34 |
Do Peers That Report First Offer A Clue?
AGCO, PACCAR (PCAR) and Terex (TEX) usually report about 4 to 9 trading days before CNH Industrial, and have already reported this season. This time AGCO rose 5.6% on its October 29 report, PACCAR slipped 0.6% on October 27, and Terex gained 7.4% on October 28. The table compares each peer’s one-day reaction to its own earnings with CNH Industrial’s one-day reaction to the report that followed. The correlations are AGCO (-0.05), PCAR (-0.49), TEX (0.33); the closer to 1, the more the peer’s reaction has foreshadowed CNH Industrial’s, and a clearly negative value means it has tended to point the other way.
| CNH Earnings Date | CNH 1D | AGCO 1D | PCAR 1D | TEX 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/3/2026 | 5.4% | -7.8% | 3.6% | -3.6% |
| 4/30/2026 | 6.3% | n/a | -6.0% | n/a |
| 2/17/2026 | 2.7% | 2.2% | -1.1% | 16.6% |
| 11/7/2025 | -5.8% | -2.8% | 2.4% | -15.7% |
| 8/1/2025 | -3.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | 7.3% | n/a | -1.9% | n/a |
| 2/4/2025 | 1.4% | n/a | -2.4% | n/a |
| 11/8/2024 | -8.3% | -7.8% | -4.4% | -5.0% |
| 7/31/2024 | 4.7% | -5.7% | -11.0% | -3.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | 3.1% | n/a | -6.6% | -0.5% |
| 2/14/2024 | 6.2% | 1.0% | n/a | -8.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | -10.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | -6.5% |
| 7/28/2023 | -6.1% | -3.1% | -2.7% | n/a |
| 5/5/2023 | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 4.9% |
| 2/2/2023 | -8.8% | n/a | 8.6% | n/a |
| Correlation | – | -0.05 | -0.49 | 0.33 |
An earnings release can move one stock sharply in either direction. A diversified portfolio spreads that risk. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio holds about 30 quality businesses, rebalanced with rules, and has a track record of outperforming a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000.