7-Day Sell-Off Sends Chipotle Mexican Grill Stock Down -25%
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) stock hit day 7 of a continuous streak of days with losses, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -25% return. The company has lost about $14 Bil in value over the last 7 days, with its current market capitalization at about $42 Bil. The stock remains 47.7% below its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 16.5% for the S&P 500.
CMG provides fast-casual Mexican cuisine with approximately 3,000 restaurants across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and Europe since 1993. Is this drop a warning sign or a setup for rebound? Deep dive with Buy or Sell CMG.
A single stock can be risky, but there is a huge value to a broader, diversified approach we take with the Trefis High Quality Portfolio. That is one way to look at stocks. The Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.
Comparing CMG Stock Returns With The S&P 500
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The following table summarizes the return for CMG stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | CMG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -0.6% | 0.2% |
| 7D (Current Streak) | -24.6% | 1.7% |
| 1M (21D) | -24.5% | 2.0% |
| 3M (63D) | -26.1% | 8.8% |
| YTD 2025 | -47.7% | 16.5% |
| 2024 | 31.8% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 64.8% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | -20.6% | -19.4% |
What is the point? Sustained weakness can be more than noise. It often signals shifting sentiment or deeper concerns. A multi-day losing streak may warn of further downside, or present an opportunity to buy if fundamentals are intact. Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: CMG Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 46 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 80 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 38 | 20 |
| 4D | 5 | 8 |
| 5D | 1 | 32 |
| 6D | 1 | 7 |
| 7D or more | 1 | 13 |
| Total >=3 D | 46 | 80 |
Key Financials for Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $9.9 Bil | $11.3 Bil |
| Operating Income | $1.6 Bil | $2.0 Bil |
| Net Income | $1.2 Bil | $1.5 Bil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $3.1 Bil | $3.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $575.1 Mil | $498.3 Mil |
| Net Income | $436.1 Mil | $382.1 Mil |
The losing streak CMG stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.