Time To Buy The Dip In BlackLine Stock?
BlackLine (BL) stock has fallen by 18.3% in less than a month, from $36.15 on 6th Apr, 2026 to $29.55 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, BL stock passes basic quality checks. But the bad news is that historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was -0.4%, with median peak return of 27%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 0.6% |
| 3M | 2.2% |
| 6M | 9.6% |
| 12M | -0.4% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
BL had 13 events since 10/28/2016 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 27% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 246 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -18% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | BL Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | BL | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | -0% | 27% | -18% | 246 | ||||
| 5062026 | -21% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | ||
| 2032026 | -23% | 2% | -33% | 1% | -34% | 1 | ||
| 3052025 | -22% | -3% | -25% | 23% | -32% | 281 | ||
| 5212024 | -23% | 2% | 3% | 25% | -20% | 260 | ||
| 5032023 | -21% | 2% | 18% | 33% | -7% | 314 | ||
| 9272022 | -20% | -15% | -4% | 39% | -12% | 128 | ||
| 7182022 | -21% | -8% | -6% | 26% | -20% | 199 | ||
| 5092022 | -24% | -12% | -0% | 43% | -11% | 29 | ||
| 12142021 | -21% | 1% | -29% | 4% | -51% | 8 | ||
| 3082021 | -23% | -0% | -34% | 27% | -34% | 246 | ||
| 3162020 | -30% | -25% | 163% | 252% | -1% | 332 | ||
| 10192018 | -21% | -4% | 6% | 29% | -18% | 287 | ||
| 8072017 | -22% | 2% | 65% | 67% | -2% | 312 | ||
1Y Refers to 1 year or time since recent dip, whichever is smaller
BlackLine Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 7.2% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 10.3% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 24.2% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 5.8 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 76.7 |
Not sure if you can take a call on BL stock? Consider portfolio approach
Portfolios Beat Stock Picking
Individual stocks are unpredictable. A smart portfolio helps you invest, limits downside shocks, and provides upside exposure.
Why settle for average market returns? The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio invests in a diverse group of 30 stocks that have collectively delivered stronger upside with reduced volatility compared to the broader indices. Discover the methodology behind these smoother, higher returns by checking the HQ Portfolio performance data.