Time To Buy The Dip In Brink’s Stock?
Brink’s (BCO) stock has fallen by 15.2% in less than a month, from $135.58 on 26th Feb, 2026 to $115.00 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, BCO stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 25% , with median peak return reaching 45%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 2.2% |
| 3M | 11.6% |
| 6M | 11.4% |
| 12M | 25.4% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
BCO had 6 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 45% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 227 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -13% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | BCO Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | BCO | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 25% | 45% | -13% | 227 | ||||
| 10112021 | -21% | -3% | -7% | 18% | -21% | 95 | ||
| 7202020 | -23% | 2% | 95% | 114% | -3% | 238 | ||
| 3092020 | -22% | -17% | 19% | 19% | -51% | 365 | ||
| 10102014 | -21% | -4% | 41% | 56% | -8% | 216 | ||
| 8102011 | -24% | -13% | 3% | 34% | -5% | 175 | ||
| 5202010 | -21% | -9% | 32% | 55% | -18% | 341 | ||
Brink’s Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 5.0% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 5.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 12.2% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 2.4 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 7.0 |
Not sure if you can take a call on BCO stock? Consider portfolio approach
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