Would You Still Hold AppLovin Stock If It Fell Another 30%?
AppLovin (APP) stock is down 28.9% in 21 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns over rising competition from Meta and CloudX, plus market softness for software, raising the tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks?
Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where AppLovin stands today.
- Size: AppLovin is a $137 Bil company with $6.6 Bil in revenue currently trading at $404.39.
- Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 86.4% and operating margin of 52.5%.
- Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.03 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.26
- Valuation: AppLovin stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 48.4 and P/EBIT multiple of 41.8
- Has returned (median) -32.4% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See APP Dip Buy Analysis.
These metrics point to a Very Strong operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Attractive but Volatile. For details, see Buy or Sell APP Stock
That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is APP stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose APP stock falls another 20-30% to $283 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared much worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.
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2022 Inflation Shock
- APP stock fell 91.9% from a high of $114.85 on 11 November 2021 to $9.30 on 27 December 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
- However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 16 September 2024
- Since then, the stock increased to a high of $733.60 on 22 December 2025 , and currently trades at $404.39
| APP | S&P 500 | |
|---|---|---|
| % Change from Pre-Recession Peak | -91.9% | -25.4% |
| Time to Full Recovery | 629 days | 464 days |
Feeling jittery about APP stock? Consider portfolio approach.
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