Time To Buy The Dip In Amphenol Stock?
Amphenol (APH) stock has fallen by 16.3% in less than a month, from $152.64 on 25th Feb, 2026 to $127.81 now. Should you buy this dip?
Dip buying is a viable strategy for quality stocks that have a history of recovering from dips. As it turns out, APH stock passes basic quality checks. Historically, the median return for the 12-month period following sharp dips was 72% , with median peak return reaching 83%. We define sharp dip as stock going down 20% or more, in less than 30 day period.
Below, we get into details of historical dips and subsequent returns.
Historical Median Returns Post Dips
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| Period | Past Median Return |
|---|---|
| 1M | 2.3% |
| 3M | 26.2% |
| 6M | 40.0% |
| 12M | 72.4% |
Historical Dip-Wise Details
APH had 3 events since 1/1/2010 where the dip threshold of -20% within 30 days was triggered
- 83% median peak return within 1 year of dip event
- 327 days is the median time to peak return after a dip event
- -6.2% median max drawdown within 1 year of dip event
| 30 Day Dip | APH Subsequent Performance | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | APH | SPY | 1Y | Peak Return |
Max Drop |
# Days to Peak |
||
| Median | 72% | 83% | -6% | 327 | ||||
| 3062025 | -21% | -6% | 115% | 171% | -4% | 327 | ||
| 3122020 | -27% | -24% | 72% | 83% | -9% | 301 | ||
| 8182011 | -24% | -15% | 48% | 48% | -6% | 365 | ||
Amphenol Passes Basic Financial Quality Checks
Revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength need to be evaluated to reduce the risk of a dip being the sign of a deteriorating business situation.
| Quality Metrics | Value | Quality Check |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (LTM) | 51.7% | Pass |
| Revenue Growth (3-Yr Avg) | 24.1% | Pass |
| Operating Cash Flow Margin (LTM) | 23.3% | Pass |
| Leverage (see below) | – | Pass |
| => Interest Coverage Ratio | 16.2 | |
| => Cash To Interest Expense Ratio | 31.1 |
Not sure if you can take a call on APH stock? Consider portfolio approach
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