After AMD’s 17% Climb in a Month, NVDA Looks Like the Stronger Long-Term Play
NVDA offers superior revenue growth across key periods, better profitability, and relatively lower valuation.
- NVDA’s quarterly revenue growth was 69.2%, vs. AMD’s 35.9%.
- In addition, its Last 12 Months growth came in at 86.2%, ahead of AMD’s 21.7%.
- NVDA leads on profitability over both periods – LTM margin of 58.0% and 3-year average of 45.1%.
That is one way to look at stocks. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure
Valuation & Performance Overview
| AMD | NVDA | Preferred | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation | |||
| P/EBIT Ratio | 92.0 | 49.3 | NVDA |
| Revenue Growth | |||
| Last Quarter | 35.9% | 69.2% | NVDA |
| Last 12 Months | 21.7% | 86.2% | NVDA |
| Last 3 Year Average | 14.3% | 94.0% | NVDA |
| Operating Margins | |||
| Last 12 Months | 10.3% | 58.0% | NVDA |
| Last 3 Year Average | 4.5% | 45.1% | NVDA |
| Momentum | |||
| Last 3 Year Return | 84.0% | 904.6% | AMD |
Note: For “Last 3 Year Return” metric, preferred stock is one with higher returns unless the returns are too high (>300%) which creates risk of sell off.
See more revenue details: AMD Revenue Comparison | NVDA Revenue Comparison
See more margin details: AMD Operating Income Comparison | NVDA Operating Income Comparison
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Historical Market Performance
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | Avg | Best | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||||
| AMD Return | 100% | 57% | -55% | 128% | -18% | 34% | 219% | ||
| NVDA Return | 122% | 125% | -50% | 239% | 171% | 27% | 2701% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 94% | ||
| Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||||
| AMD Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 47% | ||
| NVDA Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 75% | 67% | 65% | <=== | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 61% | ||
| Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||||
| AMD Max Drawdown | -16% | -20% | -61% | -4% | -19% | -35% | -26% | ||
| NVDA Max Drawdown | -16% | -11% | -62% | -2% | -4% | -30% | -21% | ||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -12% | <=== | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] 2025 data is for the year till date (YTD)
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year