INTU Tops Autodesk Stock on Price & Potential

ADSK: Autodesk logo
ADSK
Autodesk

INTU is Autodesk’s peer in Application Software industry that has:

1) Lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to Autodesk stock
2) But higher revenue and operating income growth

This disconnect between valuation and performance could mean that you are better off buying INTU stock vs. ADSK stock

You can’t predict what happens to individual stocks, but you can prepare. See how High Quality Portfolio helps you.

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Key Metrics Compared

Metric ADSK INTU
P/OpInc* 43.6x 36.0x
LTM OpInc Growth 17.4% 28.7%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 24.2% 24.5%
LTM Revenue Growth 13.8% 15.6%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 11.7% 14.0%

OpInc = Operating Income, P/OpInc = Price To Operating Income Ratio

But do these numbers tell the full story? Read Buy or Sell ADSK Stock to see if Autodesk still has an edge that holds up under the hood. As a quick background, Autodesk (ADSK) provides 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software, including civil engineering solutions for land development, transportation, and environmental projects, distributed directly and via resellers worldwide.

This is just one approach to evaluate investments. Trefis High Quality Portfolio evaluates much more, and is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure

Is The Mismatch In Stock Price Temporary

One way to check if Autodesk stock is expensive now versus the other tickers would be to see how these metrics compared across companies exactly a year ago. Specifically, if there has been a marked reversal in the trend for Autodesk in the last 12 months, then there is a chance that the current mismatch is likely to reverse. On the other hand, a persistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth for Autodesk would reinforce the conclusion that the stock is expensive compared to its peers, but may not revert soon

Key Metrics Compared 1 Yr Prior

Metric ADSK INTU
P/OpInc* 45.4x 37.9x
LTM OpInc Growth 16.4% 23.5%
3Y Avg OpInc Growth 26.8% 15.9%
LTM Revenue Growth 12.4% 15.0%
3Y Avg Revenue Growth 11.6% 12.2%

OpInc = Operating Income

Additional Metrics To Consider

Metric ADSK INTU
P/S 10.0x 11.7x
Market Cap (Current) $ 66.1 Bil $ 178.0 Bil
LTM Revenue $ 6.61 Bil $ 18.83 Bil
LTM Opinc $ 1.52 Bil $ 4.94 Bil
LTM Op Margin 22.9% 26.2%

OpInc = Operating Income

Alternate buying based on valuation, while attractive, needs to be evaluated carefully from multiple angles. Such multi-factor analysis is exactly how we construct Trefis portfolio strategies. If you want upside with a smoother ride than an individual stock, consider the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the its benchmark – a combination of S&P 500, Russell, and S&P midcap index.