Guidewire Software (GWRE)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $125.0 | Market Cap: $10.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Guidewire Software (GWRE)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $125.0Market Cap: $10.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and AI for Fraud Detection. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% Key risksGWRE key risks include [1] intense competition and [2] a high dependence on the North American property and casualty (P&C) insurance market. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 44% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), and AI for Fraud Detection. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -10% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Key risksGWRE key risks include [1] intense competition and [2] a high dependence on the North American property and casualty (P&C) insurance market. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Broader software industry concerns regarding Artificial Intelligence's impact on traditional SaaS models led to a significant stock decline. On February 3, 2026, Guidewire Software's stock fell 9.7% as institutional investors shifted focus away from traditional SaaS businesses, driven by increasing worries about how AI might affect the sector.
2. Multiple analyst firms reduced their price targets for Guidewire Software. For instance, Wells Fargo & Company decreased its price target from $250.00 to $210.00 on February 4, 2026, and Oppenheimer cut its objective from $300.00 to $250.00 on February 24, 2026. Similarly, Stifel and RBC Capital both lowered their price targets from $300.00 to $250.00 around March 6, 2026. These reductions, despite many analysts maintaining "Buy" ratings, signaled a more cautious outlook on the stock's future valuation.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.8% change in GWRE stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 201.01 | 125.09 | -37.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,272 | 1,342 | 5.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.2% | 14.1% | 95.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 185.3 | 56.1 | -69.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 85 | 85 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.8% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWRE | -37.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 18.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 2.8% | 24.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.6% change in GWRE stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 229.86 | 125.09 | -45.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,202 | 1,342 | 11.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.8% | 14.1% | 143.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 277.8 | 56.1 | -79.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 84 | 85 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -45.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWRE | -45.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 24.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.1% | 24.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -33.2% change in GWRE stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 187.36 | 125.09 | -33.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,085 | 1,342 | 23.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.5 | 7.9 | -45.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 84 | 85 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -33.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWRE | -33.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 32.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 43.9% | 32.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 52.5% change in GWRE stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 82.05 | 125.09 | 52.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 870 | 1,342 | 54.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.7 | 7.9 | 2.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 82 | 85 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 52.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWRE | 52.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 35.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 99.8% | 35.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GWRE Return | -12% | -45% | 74% | 55% | 19% | -41% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 12% | -29% | 28% | 21% | -1% | -25% | -8% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GWRE Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 54% | 58% | 58% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GWRE Max Drawdown | -28% | -54% | -3% | -4% | -1% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -37% | -4% | -6% | -14% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRSK, SSNC. See GWRE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GWRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 151.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 580 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 239 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -30.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 120 days |
Compare to VRSK, SSNC
In The Past
Guidewire Software's stock fell -60.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -60.3% loss requires a 151.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Guidewire Software (GWRE)
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The SAP for property and casualty insurance companies.
The Workday for property and casualty insurance operations.
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- Guidewire InsuranceSuite: A comprehensive platform comprising PolicyCenter, BillingCenter, and ClaimCenter for core insurance operations.
- Guidewire PolicyCenter: Manages the lifecycle of insurance policies.
- Guidewire BillingCenter: Handles premium collection, invoicing, and other billing activities.
- Guidewire ClaimCenter: Streamlines the processing and management of insurance claims.
- Guidewire InsuranceNow: A cloud-based platform offering integrated policy, billing, and claims management functionality.
- Guidewire Digital Engagement Applications: Software solutions enabling digital interactions for customers, agents, and vendors.
- Guidewire Data & Analytics Solutions: Products like DataHub, InfoCenter, Predictive Analytics, and Risk Insights that provide data management, business intelligence, and advanced analytics for insurers.
- Guidewire Underwriting & Rating Solutions: Software such as Rating Management and Underwriting Management to manage product pricing and streamline underwriting processes.
- Guidewire Reinsurance Management: Tools to execute and manage reinsurance strategies through rules-based logic.
- Professional Services: Services including implementation, integration, and ongoing support for Guidewire software products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Guidewire Software (GWRE) sells its software products and services primarily to other companies.
Based on the provided company description, its major customers are property and casualty insurers worldwide.
The background information does not provide the specific names of these customer companies, nor their public symbols.
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Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
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Mike Rosenbaum, Chief Executive Officer
Mike Rosenbaum joined Guidewire as Chief Executive Officer in 2019. Prior to Guidewire, he spent almost 14 years at Salesforce, where he held several leadership positions, including EVP Product and head of the Platform organization and AppExchange ecosystem, leading product management and go-to-market strategy for core CRM products. He previously served in the U.S. Navy as a submarine officer and has served on the board of directors of Docusign, Inc.
Jeff Cooper, Chief Financial Officer
As Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Cooper is responsible for Guidewire's financial operations. He previously served as Vice President of Finance at Guidewire, and prior to that, he was the Chief Financial Officer at GoodData and Vice President of Finance at Rally Software. Rally Software, a publicly traded, cloud-based application lifecycle management software company, was acquired by CA Technologies in 2015. He began his career as an investment banker focused on the software industry at Deutsche Bank Securities.
John Mullen, President
John Mullen leads Guidewire's Global Sales, Delivery Services, and Customer Success organizations, bringing over 25 years of experience in driving high-growth teams. Before Guidewire, he headed the $4B+ North America Business Unit at Capgemini and previously led the Capgemini Insurance Business Unit. He started his career at Accenture.
Winston King, Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel
Winston King is responsible for Guidewire's worldwide administrative functions, including human resources, business technology, recruiting, legal, and corporate services, while also serving as the company's General Counsel and Secretary. Previously, he was EVP, General Counsel, and Secretary at Infogroup Inc., a marketing data, services, and research firm. He also worked at WilmerHale, an international law firm, focusing on corporate, M&A, and securities enforcement. King served as a clerk to Judge Bruce Selya on the U.S. First Circuit Court of Appeals.
Brigette McInnis-Day, Chief People Officer
Brigette McInnis-Day brings over 25 years of experience leading HR, operations, and organizational transformation. Her background includes roles at UiPath, Google Cloud, SAP, and Mercer. She holds a Master's degree in Industrial/Organizational Psychology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Guidewire Software's business include intense competition coupled with the critical need for successful cloud transition and continuous innovation, the inherent dependence on the health and evolving landscape of the property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry, and the complexities and high costs associated with implementing and migrating its solutions for customers.Key Risks to Guidewire Software (GWRE)
- Intense Competition and Challenges in Cloud Transition and Innovation: Guidewire operates in a highly competitive market against both traditional legacy software vendors and emerging cloud-native InsurTech companies. The successful migration of its substantial on-premise customer base to its cloud platform, such as Guidewire Cloud Platform, is critical for sustained growth and market leadership. The company must continuously innovate, particularly by integrating advanced technologies like artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) into its offerings, to meet evolving insurer demands and prevent its existing products from becoming obsolete. Failure to successfully execute this cloud transition and maintain a competitive edge through innovation could lead to market share loss and slower revenue growth.
- Dependence on the Health and Evolving Landscape of the Property & Casualty (P&C) Insurance Industry: Guidewire's business is almost exclusively tied to the P&C insurance sector. This industry is currently experiencing significant pressures from rising risk complexity, margin compression, and increasingly volatile loss patterns. Global economic uncertainties, such as inflation and geopolitical instability, can also lead to reduced technology spending by insurers, directly impacting Guidewire's revenue and profitability. Furthermore, evolving regulatory environments, including increased scrutiny on AI explainability in underwriting, and potential industry consolidation could further challenge demand for Guidewire's products and services.
- Complexity and Cost of Implementation and Migration for Customers: While Guidewire offers advanced software solutions, the implementation process for insurers, particularly the migration of complex historical data and existing systems to its cloud platforms, is often costly, time-consuming, and technically challenging. Insurers may face difficulties such as project delays, budget overruns, and resistance to organizational change during these transitions. These complexities and high costs of adoption for customers can impact customer satisfaction, lengthen sales cycles, and potentially hinder Guidewire's ability to onboard new clients and grow its recurring revenue base.
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The clear emerging threat for Guidewire Software is the emergence of **AI-first, fully automated insurance operating platforms**. These next-generation platforms are being designed from the ground up to leverage advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning across the entire insurance lifecycle, including underwriting, policy administration, and claims processing, with minimal human intervention. Often built as cloud-native and API-driven solutions, they offer the potential for significantly lower operational costs, faster product innovation cycles, and superior real-time risk assessment and fraud detection capabilities compared to traditional core systems. While Guidewire is incorporating AI and cloud capabilities into its offerings, these emerging competitors represent a fundamental architectural and operational shift, potentially displacing the need for comprehensive, module-based enterprise suites like Guidewire's for insurers seeking maximum automation and data-driven intelligence.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE) primarily provides software products for property and casualty (P&C) insurers worldwide, including its core Guidewire InsuranceSuite (PolicyCenter, BillingCenter, and ClaimCenter) and Guidewire InsuranceNow platforms.
The global addressable market for property and casualty (P&C) insurance software is substantial. This market was valued at approximately $20.96 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to $23.32 billion in 2026, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.3%. Forecasts indicate continued rapid growth, with the market expected to reach $34.75 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 10.5%.
Another estimate places the global P&C insurance software market at $13.3 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $17.9 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 6.1%. Additionally, the global P&C insurance software market size was estimated at $12.01 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to $27.75 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.74% during the forecast period.
More broadly, the global insurance software market, which encompasses P&C, accident, and health insurance systems, was valued at $15.03 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach $20.41 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 6.31%.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Guidewire Software (GWRE) over the next 2-3 years:1. Continued Cloud Adoption and Migration to Guidewire Cloud Platform: A primary driver of Guidewire's revenue growth is the ongoing transition of property and casualty insurers to its cloud-based solutions. The company is focused on migrating existing on-premise customers to Guidewire Cloud and acquiring new clients directly on the cloud platform. This shift is fueling significant increases in subscription and support revenues, and Guidewire is now operating fully as a SaaS provider.
2. Growing Demand for AI and Analytics Solutions: Guidewire is experiencing accelerated demand for its AI-driven solutions and analytics offerings. The integration of artificial intelligence is creating urgency for core system modernization among insurers and is helping to accelerate Guidewire's development and implementation velocity. The company has seen strong adoption of its data and analytics portfolio and recently launched AI-enabled solutions, such as ProNavigator, contributing to revenue expansion.
3. Acquisition of New Customers and Expansion within Existing Client Base through Larger, Longer-Duration Deals: Guidewire continues to secure significant new deals with both new and existing customers. These new signings are often larger in scale and come with longer durations, contributing to a substantial increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). The company's ability to drive revenue expansion within its current client base and win major insurers as new customers underscores this growth driver.
4. Monetization of New and Enhanced Products: The expansion and adoption of Guidewire's specialized product offerings, such as PricingCenter and other applications within its data and analytics portfolio, are expected to contribute to future revenue growth. These products enable insurers to manage specific aspects of their business more effectively, leading to opportunities for cross-selling and up-selling within Guidewire's customer base as they modernize and expand their lines of business.
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Share Repurchases
- Guidewire Software announced a new share repurchase program with authorization to purchase up to $500.0 million of its outstanding common stock, effective January 8, 2026.
- The company completed its prior share repurchase program, authorized in September 2022, by utilizing the remaining $138.2 million under that authorization.
- The latest value of Guidewire's stock repurchases for the last twelve months (LTM) as of November 24, 2025, was $214 million.
Share Issuance
- In fiscal year 2025, proceeds from the issuance of common stock upon the exercise of stock options totaled $728 thousand.
- For fiscal year 2024, the company received $1.041 million from the issuance of common stock due to the exercise of stock options.
- In fiscal year 2023, proceeds from the issuance of common stock upon the exercise of stock options were $3.902 million.
Inbound Investments
- As of October 31, 2025, Guidewire had $1,409.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments.
- Machina Capital S.A.S. acquired a new stake of 5,120 shares in Guidewire Software, valued at approximately $1.21 million, during the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.
- Vanguard Group Inc. increased its holdings in Guidewire Software by 3.0% during the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, bringing its total to 8,711,604 shares worth $1.63 billion.
Outbound Investments
- On October 28, 2025, Guidewire entered into a definitive agreement to acquire ProNav Technologies Ltd. (ProNavigator), an AI-powered knowledge management platform for the P&C insurance industry, with the acquisition expected to close in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026.
- Guidewire has recently acquired Quanti, a Polish pricing software firm, and has made investments in AI tools such as Claims Intel.
Capital Expenditures
- For fiscal year 2026, Guidewire's capital expenditures are projected to be between $25 million and $30 million.
- Expected capitalized software development costs for fiscal year 2026 are $16 million.
- Guidewire continuously invests in research and development, allocating over 25% of its revenue to innovation, primarily focusing on cloud-based solutions, data analytics, and digital capabilities.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 125.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.0 |
| Rev LTM | 3,073 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,344 |
| FCF LTM | 1,192 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 978 |
| CFO LTM | 1,436 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,211 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.0 |
| P/S | 7.7 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 26.1 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -23.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -29.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -34.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -20.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -35.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -65.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $125.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/25/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -52.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $142.56 | $198.46 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.3% | -37.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.7% | 44.6% |
| Downside Capture | 1.22 | 0.64 |
| Upside Capture | 98.29 | 39.46 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.45 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Up Beta | -2.15 | 0.81 | 1.96 | 1.61 | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Down Beta | -1.20 | 0.39 | -0.28 | -0.25 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Up Capture | 40% | 125% | 41% | 48% | 34% | 90% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 27 | 56 | 121 | 389 |
| Down Capture | -22% | 61% | 155% | 143% | 87% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 35 | 69 | 129 | 359 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWRE | -35.1% | 44.5% | -0.85 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 53.2% | 21.1% | 1.92 | 22.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 20.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -0.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 12.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 16.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWRE | 3.4% | 37.2% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 17.3% | 24.7% | 0.63 | 49.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 48.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 10.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 37.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 24.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWRE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWRE | 8.4% | 34.5% | 0.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.3% | 24.3% | 0.84 | 53.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 52.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 6.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 13.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 37.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 16.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/5/2026 | 5.0% | -2.0% | -8.1% |
| 12/3/2025 | -2.2% | -7.0% | -12.9% |
| 9/4/2025 | 20.1% | 16.7% | 6.0% |
| 6/3/2025 | 16.4% | 15.4% | 7.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | -7.3% | -5.9% | -6.8% |
| 12/5/2024 | -14.0% | -15.9% | -17.2% |
| 9/5/2024 | 12.4% | 18.0% | 28.0% |
| 6/4/2024 | 18.0% | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -2.8% | -6.5% |
| Max Positive | 20.1% | 25.9% | 29.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.4% | -15.9% | -17.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 03/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/16/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/18/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/26/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | 352.00 Mil | 355.00 Mil | 358.00 Mil | 3.8% | Higher New | Actual: 342.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Ending ARR | 1.14 Bil | 1.15 Bil | 1.15 Bil | 3.3% | Higher New | Actual: 1.11 Bil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 GAAP operating income | 11.00 Mil | 14.00 Mil | 17.00 Mil | -36.4% | Lower New | Actual: 22.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Non-GAAP operating income | 59.00 Mil | 62.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | -12.7% | Lower New | Actual: 71.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.44 Bil | 1.44 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 2.3% | Raised | Guidance: 1.41 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Ending ARR | 1.23 Bil | 1.23 Bil | 1.24 Bil | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.23 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP operating income | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 31.2% | Raised | Guidance: 80.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP operating income | 293.00 Mil | 298.00 Mil | 303.00 Mil | 8.8% | Raised | Guidance: 274.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating cash flow | 360.00 Mil | 367.50 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 0.7% | Raised | Guidance: 365.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Ending ARR | 1.11 Bil | 1.11 Bil | 1.11 Bil | 5.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.05 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 339.00 Mil | 342.00 Mil | 345.00 Mil | 7.6% | Raised | Guidance: 318.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 GAAP Operating Income | 19.00 Mil | 22.00 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 450.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 68.00 Mil | 71.00 Mil | 74.00 Mil | 42.0% | Raised | Guidance: 50.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| 2026 Ending ARR | 1.22 Bil | 1.23 Bil | 1.23 Bil | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 1.22 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 1.40 Bil | 1.41 Bil | 1.42 Bil | 1.2% | Raised | Guidance: 1.40 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 GAAP Operating Income | 72.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 88.00 Mil | 2.6% | Raised | Guidance: 78.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income | 266.00 Mil | 274.00 Mil | 282.00 Mil | 1.9% | Raised | Guidance: 269.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Cash Flow | 355.00 Mil | 365.00 Mil | 375.00 Mil | 1.4% | Raised | Guidance: 360.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenbaum, Michael George | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12292025 | 204.95 | 1,400 | 286,930 | 48,766,418 | Form |
| 2 | Rosenbaum, Michael George | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 200.72 | 1,400 | 281,008 | 48,040,927 | Form |
| 3 | King, James Winston | Chief Admin Officer, Gen Couns | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 192.08 | 1,457 | 279,855 | 6,830,610 | Form |
| 4 | King, James Winston | Chief Admin Officer, Gen Couns | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 195.00 | 1,860 | 362,700 | 6,571,890 | Form |
| 5 | Cooper, Jeffrey Elliott | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 192.08 | 2,872 | 551,643 | 14,252,239 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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