Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


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Valuation, Metrics & Events

XZO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Exzeo (XZO) experienced significant activity between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily driven by its Initial Public Offering (IPO) and subsequent analyst coverage.

1. Exzeo's Initial Public Offering (IPO). Exzeo Group Inc. announced the pricing of its IPO of 8,000,000 shares at $21.00 per share, with shares expected to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the symbol "XZO" on November 5, 2025. This event established Exzeo's capital market access and served as a significant catalyst for investor attention.

2. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance. Exzeo reported robust financial results for Q3 2025, with revenue nearly doubling year-over-year to $56.27 million, a 95% increase from Q3 2024. Income before income taxes also surged to $28.36 million, driven by higher services and investment income, and efficient cost management.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XZO Return------ 
Peers Return-5%12%4%11%14%14%58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XZO Win Rate-----  
Peers Win Rate38%45%38%42%40%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XZO Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-8%-14%-9%-4%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLF, L, GNW, HMN, XZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

XZO has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Exzeo (XZO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XZO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Exzeo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XZOSLFLGNWHMNMedian
NameExzeo Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M. 
Mkt Price18.1457.82105.758.6844.6544.65
Mkt Cap-32.422.03.61.812.8
Rev LTM-36,20917,9857,0711,60212,528
Op Inc LTM------
FCF LTM-2,0713,0412286171,344
FCF 3Y Avg-3,4142,7624794111,621
CFO LTM-2,2103,6032286171,413
CFO 3Y Avg-3,5523,4054794111,942

Growth & Margins

XZOSLFLGNWHMNMedian
NameExzeo Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M. 
Rev Chg LTM--20.5%6.0%-2.4%4.0%0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-88.9%9.2%-1.3%7.1%8.1%
Rev Chg Q--19.4%4.6%-0.3%4.9%2.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--7.6%1.1%-0.1%1.2%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM-6.1%20.0%3.2%38.5%13.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9.5%20.6%6.6%26.8%15.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.7%16.9%3.2%38.5%11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.1%16.7%6.6%26.8%12.9%

Valuation

XZOSLFLGNWHMNMedian
NameExzeo Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M. 
Mkt Cap-32.422.03.61.812.8
P/S-0.91.20.51.21.0
P/EBIT-7.08.85.67.87.4
P/E-10.914.417.011.312.8
P/CFO-15.25.814.13.09.9
Total Yield-9.2%7.1%5.9%11.9%8.1%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.1%0.0%3.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.7%16.3%19.1%26.4%17.7%
D/E-0.20.50.50.50.5
Net D/E--0.60.1-1.90.1-0.2

Returns

XZOSLFLGNWHMNMedian
NameExzeo Sun Life.Loews Genworth.Horace M. 
1M Rtn--4.2%6.4%2.7%0.9%1.8%
3M Rtn-0.7%9.2%1.5%-2.6%1.1%
6M Rtn--8.8%20.0%25.1%5.5%12.8%
12M Rtn--1.6%23.3%13.6%12.3%13.0%
3Y Rtn-39.7%85.2%68.9%31.3%54.3%
1M Excs Rtn--4.2%6.5%2.8%0.9%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn--4.2%3.1%-5.1%-9.6%-4.7%
6M Excs Rtn--23.5%5.3%10.4%-9.2%-2.0%
12M Excs Rtn--15.3%8.7%-2.3%-3.4%-2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn--29.3%15.3%5.4%-40.8%-11.9%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity341,175
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025100.0%
Average Daily Volume666,929
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity77,841,667
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
123120249252025S-1 12/31/2024
1231202011082021S-1 12/31/2020