Tearsheet

Expion360 (XPON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.205 | Market Cap: $4.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Expion360 (XPON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.205
Market Cap: $4.0 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -67%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -60%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -386%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 131%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -60%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -172%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -67%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -93%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -386%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 131%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XPON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -22% stock movement for Expion360 (XPON) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Forecasts

Wall Street research analysts maintained a "Sell" consensus for XPON shares, with some technical analysis indicators also signaling a "Strong Sell" during this period. One analyst even predicted a 12-month downside of -100.00%, significantly impacting investor confidence. 2. Distressed Altman Z-Score Indicating Bankruptcy Risk

Despite reporting positive revenue growth, Expion360 faced underlying financial challenges, as evidenced by a distressed Altman Z-Score. This score placed the company in the "distress zone," implying a potential risk of bankruptcy which could deter investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XPON Return---134%-100%-52%-100%
Peers Return19%25%-5%97%74%25%504%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XPON Win Rate--25%50%8%40% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%40%65%63%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XPON Max Drawdown----38%-100%-71% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-8%-35%-8%-7%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POWL, ETN, EMR, VRT, AME.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXPONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven717.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to POWL, ETN, EMR, VRT, AME


In The Past

Expion360's stock fell -87.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/1/2022. A -87.8% loss requires a 717.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Expion360 (XPON)

Better Bets than Expion360 (XPON)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XPON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Expion360

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XPONPOWLETNEMRVRTAMEMedian
NameExpion360Powell I.Eaton Emerson .Vertiv AMETEK  
Mkt Price1.17323.48335.57134.89178.88199.22189.05
Mkt Cap0.03.9130.575.868.346.057.2
Rev LTM81,08126,63317,7799,6967,1648,430
Op Inc LTM-62115,0493,3391,7481,8741,811
FCF LTM-8813,3222,7411,3651,6431,504
FCF 3Y Avg-71303,1142,0431,0151,5911,303
CFO LTM-81014,1043,1721,5601,7681,664
CFO 3Y Avg-61413,8812,4251,1781,7221,450

Growth & Margins

XPONPOWLETNEMRVRTAMEMedian
NameExpion360Powell I.Eaton Emerson .Vertiv AMETEK  
Rev Chg LTM68.3%14.3%8.2%4.8%28.8%3.7%11.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.5%30.0%9.7%24.9%21.4%5.9%16.9%
Rev Chg Q133.9%-0.7%10.1%3.9%29.0%10.8%10.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM25.5%-0.2%2.5%1.0%6.6%2.6%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-66.6%19.5%19.0%18.8%18.0%26.2%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-105.6%14.1%17.8%17.5%15.3%25.7%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM21.9%0.3%0.1%0.5%0.6%-0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-92.5%9.3%15.4%17.8%16.1%24.7%15.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-101.5%16.5%15.8%14.7%14.5%25.1%15.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-92.6%7.5%12.5%15.4%14.1%22.9%13.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-104.2%15.4%12.6%12.4%12.5%23.2%12.6%

Valuation

XPONPOWLETNEMRVRTAMEMedian
NameExpion360Powell I.Eaton Emerson .Vertiv AMETEK  
Mkt Cap0.03.9130.575.868.346.057.2
P/S0.42.35.54.25.96.14.8
P/EBIT-0.312.129.023.337.823.523.4
P/E-0.314.537.128.355.729.528.9
P/CFO-0.425.235.523.636.924.524.9
Total Yield-381.9%7.2%3.0%3.9%1.9%4.0%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.3%0.4%0.1%0.6%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-116.8%10.4%2.7%3.3%3.2%4.1%3.2%
D/E0.40.00.10.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.20.10.20.00.00.1

Returns

XPONPOWLETNEMRVRTAMEMedian
NameExpion360Powell I.Eaton Emerson .Vertiv AMETEK  
1M Rtn-10.7%-17.1%-13.0%-3.3%-6.5%0.3%-8.6%
3M Rtn-18.8%25.9%-1.9%4.6%42.5%8.2%6.4%
6M Rtn25.8%82.7%3.2%11.8%58.7%12.8%19.3%
12M Rtn-44.0%20.8%-9.1%2.8%39.8%3.2%3.0%
3Y Rtn-99.1%1,164.4%114.5%47.8%1,115.8%40.7%81.1%
1M Excs Rtn-10.7%-17.1%-12.9%-3.2%-6.5%0.3%-8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-13.2%14.2%-8.7%-3.6%37.1%0.9%-1.3%
6M Excs Rtn11.1%67.9%-11.5%-2.9%43.9%-1.9%4.6%
12M Excs Rtn-62.9%8.0%-23.0%-10.1%26.9%-10.4%-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-171.9%1,121.7%42.7%-20.9%1,198.1%-27.0%10.9%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity805,450
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202527.2%
Average Daily Volume3,538,383
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,335,237
Short % of Basic Shares24.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120214042022424B4 12/31/2021
123120201212022S-1 12/31/2020