Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.8 | Market Cap: $13.9 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners
Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.8Market Cap: $13.9 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Distillers & Vintners
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 89x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 106% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 89x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.3% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WVVI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI) experienced a significant downturn in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with a reported decrease of 37.7%. Several factors contributed to this decline.
1. Increased Net Loss in Q3 2025: The company reported a substantial increase in net loss for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The net loss rose to $1,092,450, an increase of 286.1% compared to $282,945 in the same quarter of the prior year. This significant increase in losses likely eroded investor confidence.
2. Decline in Sales Revenue: Sales revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, decreased by 10.9% to $8,353,200 from $9,370,713 in the previous year's period. This decline was attributed to decreases in both direct sales and sales through distributors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WVVI Return | -8% | 36% | -31% | -10% | -37% | -15% | -59% |
| Peers Return | -10% | 23% | -11% | -7% | -18% | -20% | -40% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WVVI Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 37% | 45% | 38% | 33% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WVVI Max Drawdown | -35% | -1% | -31% | -16% | -40% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -4% | -21% | -18% | -24% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STZ, MGPI, AGCC, BF-B, SNDL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WVVI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -70.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 243.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 319 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 620 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 298.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2434 days | 1480 days |
Compare to STZ, MGPI, AGCC, BF-B, SNDL
In The Past
Willamette Valley Vineyards's stock fell -70.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/8/2021. A -70.9% loss requires a 243.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Willamette Valley Vineyards Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WVVI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Willamette Valley Vineyards
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 952 |
| Op Inc LTM | 110 |
| FCF LTM | 62 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 37 |
| CFO LTM | 121 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 98 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | -7.7 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | -1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -19.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -25.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -52.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -34.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -40.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -125.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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