Upstream Bio (UPB)
Market Price (2/22/2026): $8.13 | Market Cap: $438.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Upstream Bio (UPB)
Market Price (2/22/2026): $8.13Market Cap: $438.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -141 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5020% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 156x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 354% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4368%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4377% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% | ||
| Key risksUPB key risks include [1] its singular dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -85% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -58% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -101%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -141 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5020% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 156x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 354% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4368%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4377% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% |
| Key risksUPB key risks include [1] its singular dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its lead candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Efficacy Results in Phase 2 VALIANT Trial.
Upstream Bio announced top-line results from its Phase 2 VALIANT trial for verekitug in severe asthma on February 11, 2026. While the trial met its primary endpoint of reducing the annualized asthma exacerbation rate (AAER) for both dosing regimens, the market perceived these results as "mixed." Specifically, the 100 mg every 12 weeks (q12w) dose showed a 56% AAER reduction, which analysts noted was comparable to existing treatments. However, the less frequent 400 mg every 24 weeks (q24w) dose only achieved a 39% reduction, leading to concerns about the drug's overall competitive profile, particularly for a longer dosing interval. This disparity contributed significantly to the stock's sharp decline.
2. Concerns Over Competitive Positioning and Dosing Convenience.
The market's negative reaction was largely driven by worries about verekitug's competitive edge, especially regarding its dosing frequency. Investors and analysts had high expectations for a convenient, less frequent dosing regimen (such as a Q6M or every 6 months dose) that could differentiate verekitug from competitors. The lower efficacy seen with the 400 mg Q24W (every 6 months) dose compared to the more frequent dosing raised doubts about its ability to compete effectively in the TSLP inhibitor space, which some investors viewed as a "winner-take-all" market for a highly convenient dosing schedule.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -68.7% change in UPB stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.85 | 8.08 | -68.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 3 | 2.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 510.5 | 155.7 | -69.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 54 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -68.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UPB | -68.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 12.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.7% | -4.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -47.2% change in UPB stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.31 | 8.08 | -47.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 3 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 155.7 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 51 | 54 | -4.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UPB | -47.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.4% | 11.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 20.8% | 3.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.0% change in UPB stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.6% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.77 | 8.08 | -25.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 3 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 155.7 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 36 | 54 | -32.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UPB | -25.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 8.2% | 10.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| UPB | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.9% | 20.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.1% | 10.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UPB Return | - | - | - | -25% | 65% | -69% | -61% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 17% | 18% | -13% | 19% | 8% | 81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 0% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UPB Win Rate | - | - | - | 33% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 54% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UPB Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -27% | -63% | -69% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -7% | -11% | -14% | -16% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMGN, REGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
UPB has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to AMGN, REGN
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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About Upstream Bio (UPB)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Upstream Bio (UPB) Analogies:
- An early-stage Regeneron for immunology and inflammation.
- A clinical-stage Amgen specializing in therapies for allergic diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- UPB-101: A clinical-stage investigational monoclonal antibody designed to inhibit the TSLP receptor for the treatment of inflammatory and allergic diseases, with an initial focus on asthma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Upstream Bio (symbol: UPB) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of new therapeutics for patients with inflammatory and allergic diseases.
As a clinical-stage company, Upstream Bio is currently in the research and development phase for its drug candidates, such as UPB-101. Consequently, it has not yet commercialized any products or services and therefore does not have major customers in the traditional sense of entities or individuals purchasing their offerings.
The company's operations are primarily funded through equity financing (investments from institutional and individual investors) rather than through product sales or service revenue. While future plans for a company like Upstream Bio typically involve potential partnerships or licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies upon successful drug development and regulatory approval, these are not current customer relationships generating revenue from product sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Rand Sutherland, MD, Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Sutherland brings over 25 years of business and clinical experience to Upstream Bio. He most recently served as CEO of Seeker Biologics and was President of Translate Bio prior to its acquisition by Sanofi. Earlier in his career, he held various R&D and medical affairs leadership roles at Sanofi, focusing on developing novel medicines in Immunology and Rare Diseases. He also serves as an independent director for Krystal Biotech and Vanqua Bio.
Mike Gray, MBA, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Gray leads Upstream Bio's financial strategy and daily operations, with more than 25 years of public-private leadership experience. He previously served as CFO and COO of Carmot Therapeutics, which was acquired by Roche in 2024. Before that, he was CFO and COO of Imara and Arsanis, where he was involved in completing initial public offerings and building these organizations. Mr. Gray also held leadership positions at Curis and served on the Board of Directors of Therapeutics Acquisition Corporation. He earned his MBA from the F.W. Olin Graduate School of Business at Babson College.
Aaron Deykin, MD, Chief Medical Officer & Head of R&D
Dr. Deykin oversees Upstream Bio's development vision, clinical expertise, translational science, and regulatory strategy. Prior to joining Upstream Bio in 2022, he held multiple leadership roles at Biogen for over 15 years, including Senior Vice President of Clinical Sciences, where he managed Biostatistics, Statistical Programming, Biomarkers, Clinical Pharmacology, Epidemiology, and Clinical Operations globally. He also served as an Assistant Professor of Medicine at Harvard Medical School and was a member of the Pulmonary and Critical Care faculty at Brigham and Women's Hospital, where he directed the Pulmonary Function Testing Laboratory and was Associate Director of the Asthma Research Center.
Lisa Fiering, Senior Vice President, People & Culture
Ms. Fiering brings 30 years of experience in people and culture roles, with the last 20 years in life sciences companies such as Genzyme, Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Keryx, and Trillium. She has extensive experience in developing talent and organizational effectiveness. Since 2022, she has also provided strategic consulting to early-stage biotech companies to build their people and culture functions.
Adam Houghton, PhD, Chief Business Officer
Dr. Houghton is responsible for Business Development and Pipeline Strategy at Upstream Bio. Before joining Upstream, he was Vice President, Corporate Strategy, and Head of AbbVie Ventures, AbbVie's corporate venture investment group. He also led several Search and Evaluation teams at AbbVie, Biogen, and Eli Lilly, contributing to major licensing and acquisition deals in Immunology and Neuroscience.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Upstream Bio's (UPB) business are primarily associated with the inherent challenges faced by clinical-stage biotechnology companies.
- Clinical Trial Outcomes and Regulatory Hurdles: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Upstream Bio's success hinges on the successful development and regulatory approval of its lead product candidate, verekitug. Positive early-phase clinical trial results do not guarantee success in later stages, and the company must navigate lengthy and costly FDA and international regulatory pathways.
- Financial Constraints and Need for Additional Capital: Upstream Bio has a limited operating history and has incurred significant financial losses since its inception, with expectations of continued losses in the foreseeable future. The company's operations and development programs are heavily reliant on proceeds from its initial public offering and potential future funding rounds. Recent widening net losses and a universal shelf registration filing indicate a pursuit of new funding, which could lead to dilution risk for existing shareholders.
- Competition: Upstream Bio operates in a highly competitive pharmaceutical industry. While verekitug, a monoclonal antibody targeting the TSLP receptor, is positioned as a first-in-class treatment, several biologics are already approved for severe asthma, chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Competitors in this space may possess significantly greater financial resources and expertise.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Upstream Bio's main product, verekitug (also known as UPB-101), is a monoclonal antibody targeting the TSLP receptor, which is being developed for several inflammatory diseases with an initial focus on severe respiratory disorders.
The addressable markets for verekitug's main product candidates are:
- Chronic Rhinosinusitis with Nasal Polyps (CRSwNP): The global market for Chronic Rhinosinusitis with Nasal Polyps is projected to grow from approximately USD 3.54 billion in 2023 to about USD 5.78 billion by 2031.
- Severe Asthma: The market opportunity for biologics targeting asthma across the U.S., Europe, and Japan was approximately USD 7.5 billion in 2023. The global biologic market for treatments like verekitug is estimated to be over USD 7.5 billion.
- Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD): null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Upstream Bio (UPB) over the next 2-3 years:- Successful Commercialization of Verekitug in Chronic Rhinosinusitis with Nasal Polyps (CRSwNP): Upstream Bio announced positive top-line results from its Phase 2 VIBRANT trial for verekitug in CRSwNP in September 2025. This success positions verekitug as a potential best-in-class TSLP receptor antagonist, and the company is accelerating its Phase 3 development planning for this indication, which could lead to significant revenue generation upon market entry.
- Successful Commercialization of Verekitug in Severe Asthma: Top-line data from the VALIANT Phase 2 trial of verekitug in severe asthma is anticipated in the first quarter of 2026. A positive readout from this trial is considered a critical near-term catalyst and a substantial driver of future revenue, with the company proactively scaling clinical and manufacturing capabilities in anticipation.
- Pipeline Expansion into Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and Other TSLP-driven Inflammatory Diseases: Upstream Bio initiated a Phase 2 clinical trial for verekitug in COPD in July 2025. Beyond respiratory indications, the company believes verekitug, a monoclonal antibody targeting the TSLP receptor, has broad potential as a therapy for various other TSLP-driven inflammatory diseases. Successful development and commercialization in these additional markets would expand the product's reach and contribute to revenue growth.
- Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: Upstream Bio, as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, has opportunities to forge strategic collaborations for the development and commercialization of verekitug. Such partnerships could provide access to additional financial resources, specialized expertise, and established distribution networks, thereby accelerating market access and enhancing revenue streams.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Upstream Bio completed its initial public offering (IPO) in October 2024, pricing 15,000,000 shares at $17.00 per share, which initially raised $255.0 million.
- The IPO was upsized to 17,250,000 shares at $17.00 per share, including the full exercise of the underwriters' option for additional shares, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $293 million.
- The company's Q3 2025 financial report indicated an impact on net loss per share due to increased shares outstanding.
Inbound Investments
- Upstream Bio has raised a total of $800 million in funding to date, encompassing investments prior to its October 2024 IPO.
- The company holds strategic licensing agreements with Lonza and Regeneron, providing essential intellectual property rights and manufacturing capabilities for its lead product candidate, verekitug.
- Upstream Bio reported $0.7 million in collaboration revenue for the third quarter of 2025, primarily from work under its Maruho License Agreement related to a Phase 2 clinical trial for severe asthma.
Capital Expenditures
- Research and development expenses increased significantly to $33.0 million for the third quarter of 2025, up from $15.4 million for the same period in 2024.
- These expenditures are primarily focused on advancing its verekitug programs, including multiple Phase 2 clinical trials for severe asthma, chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
- As of September 30, 2025, Upstream Bio had $372.4 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which is projected to fund planned operations, including R&D, through 2027.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Upstream Bio Stock Pre-Market (+15%) : Positive Phase 2 Asthma Trial Data | 02/11/2026 | |
| Would You Still Hold Upstream Bio Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to UPB.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01302026 | VEEV | Veeva Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.6% | -14.6% | -15.7% |
| 01162026 | BIIB | Biogen | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| 01162026 | BMRN | BioMarin Pharmaceutical | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| 01162026 | DOCS | Doximity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -39.4% | -39.4% | -40.1% |
| 01022026 | CORT | Corcept Therapeutics | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.6% | 4.6% | -9.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 374.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 80.4 |
| Rev LTM | 14,343 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,702 |
| FCF LTM | 3,765 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 6,137 |
| CFO LTM | 4,979 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,319 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 26.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 27.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 80.4 |
| P/S | 5.6 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 16.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Developing treatments for inflammatory diseases, with an initial focus on severe respiratory | 2 | 1 |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Developing treatments for inflammatory diseases, with an initial focus on severe respiratory | -40 | |
| Total | -40 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Developing treatments for inflammatory diseases, with an initial focus on severe respiratory | -21 | |
| Total | -21 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.08 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/11/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -75.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $26.53 | $15.77 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | -69.5% | -48.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 140.2% | 97.1% |
| Downside Capture | 624.49 | 126.52 |
| Upside Capture | -183.48 | 108.78 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.42 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.77 | 0.78 | -0.03 |
| Up Beta | 2.96 | 5.09 | 4.17 | 3.44 | 0.94 | -0.14 |
| Down Beta | -0.43 | 0.05 | 0.47 | -0.58 | 0.38 | 0.79 |
| Up Capture | 187% | 88% | 70% | 165% | 184% | 26% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | 134 | 165 |
| Down Capture | -116% | 19% | -44% | -53% | 54% | 80% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 28 | 57 | 115 | 156 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPB | 3.4% | 97.1% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 8.6% | 17.3% | 0.32 | 10.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 19.4% | 0.53 | 16.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 74.5% | 25.6% | 2.15 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.2% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 5.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.1% | 16.7% | 0.24 | 6.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -29.7% | 44.9% | -0.65 | 16.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPB | -17.9% | 97.5% | -0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.6% | 14.5% | 0.34 | 10.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 20.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.1% | 1.08 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.9% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 0.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 12.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.4% | 57.1% | 0.35 | 17.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with UPB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPB | -9.4% | 97.5% | -0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 11.3% | 16.5% | 0.57 | 10.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 20.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.8% | 15.6% | 0.79 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 0.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.0% | 20.7% | 0.30 | 12.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.0% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 17.1% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/11/2026 | -47.2% | -70.2% | |
| 11/5/2025 | -4.3% | -5.0% | 10.8% |
| 8/6/2025 | 7.9% | 12.9% | 27.0% |
| 3/12/2025 | 7.8% | 5.6% | -23.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | 1.7% | -2.5% | -10.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 9.3% | 18.9% |
| Median Negative | -25.7% | -5.0% | -17.0% |
| Max Positive | 7.9% | 12.9% | 27.0% |
| Max Negative | -47.2% | -70.2% | -23.7% |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.