Tearsheet

UnitedHealth (UNH)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $334.55 | Market Cap: $303.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Managed Health Care

UnitedHealth (UNH)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $334.55
Market Cap: $303.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Managed Health Care

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 5.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
 
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 21 Bil, FCF LTM is 17 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.0%, FCF Yield is 5.6%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 21 Bil, FCF LTM is 17 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UNH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why UnitedHealth (UNH) stock moved by approximately 8.3% from August 2025 to December 2025: 1. Reinstated Guidance and Rebuilding Confidence

UnitedHealth Group's stock began a significant recovery in late summer 2025 after management reinstated its forward-looking guidance during the second-quarter earnings release in July, which helped rebuild market confidence that had been shaken by a prior suspension of guidance. The stock had plunged by over 60% to around $235 by early August following the initial guidance suspension but started regaining momentum after the reinstatement.

2. Optimistic Analyst Projections and Price Target Increases

Analysts expressed optimism about the company's margin recovery, projecting earnings power of approximately $30 per share by 2028 or 2029. Renewed optimism intensified in October 2025, with Wolfe Research raising its price target to $375 from $330, maintaining an "Outperform" rating, and some analysts setting targets as high as $440.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UNH Return21%45%7%1%-2%-33%24%
Peers Return12%34%11%-6%-26%-1%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UNH Win Rate58%58%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%58%47%38%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UNH Max Drawdown-33%-8%-9%-15%-16%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-5%-14%-24%-30%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVS, CI, HUM, CNC, MOH. See UNH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUNHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-19.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven370 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven261.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1229 days1480 days

Compare to CVS, CI, HUM, CNC, MOH


In The Past

UnitedHealth's stock fell -19.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/31/2022. A -19.3% loss requires a 24.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About UnitedHealth (UNH)

Better Bets than UnitedHealth (UNH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UNH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
UNH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312025UNHUnitedHealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%14.0%-20.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
UNH_5312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312025UNHUnitedHealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%14.0%-20.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UnitedHealth

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
Mkt Price333.4976.75268.42253.0238.85150.57201.80
Mkt Cap302.197.471.430.419.17.950.9
Rev LTM435,159394,084261,220126,362185,85744,550223,538
Op Inc LTM26,35710,751--1,0951,3236,037
FCF LTM17,3726,2933,9441,5473,356-5743,650
FCF 3Y Avg18,9686,4277,7737323,0175194,722
CFO LTM20,9589,1095,2922,0454,064-4614,678
CFO 3Y Avg22,4439,2779,1971,4643,7616196,479

Growth & Margins

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
Rev Chg LTM10.5%6.8%20.9%9.9%14.9%13.7%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.4%7.7%13.6%11.4%9.6%12.8%11.4%
Rev Chg Q12.2%7.8%11.2%11.1%18.2%11.0%11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%1.9%2.7%2.6%4.3%2.6%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM6.1%2.7%--0.6%3.0%2.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.7%3.3%--1.7%4.0%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.1%---0.5%-0.8%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM4.8%2.3%2.0%1.6%2.2%-1.0%2.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%2.5%4.4%1.4%2.3%2.0%2.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.0%1.6%1.5%1.2%1.8%-1.3%1.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%1.8%3.8%0.8%1.9%1.7%1.8%

Valuation

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
Mkt Cap302.197.471.430.419.17.950.9
P/S0.70.20.30.20.10.20.2
P/EBIT11.916.09.213.3-4.27.610.6
P/E17.8204.015.324.2-3.311.416.5
P/CFO14.910.514.515.34.3-21.812.5
Total Yield8.1%4.0%8.6%5.5%-30.2%8.8%6.8%
Dividend Yield2.5%3.5%2.1%1.4%0.0%0.0%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%7.1%9.0%0.6%11.5%1.8%5.8%
D/E0.30.90.40.41.00.40.4
Net D/E0.20.70.3-0.3-0.1-0.50.0

Returns

UNHCVSCIHUMCNCMOHMedian
NameUnitedHe.CVS Heal.Cigna Humana Centene Molina H. 
1M Rtn0.8%-1.7%2.0%-10.2%7.6%-0.7%0.0%
3M Rtn8.1%5.0%-11.2%-18.6%35.6%-11.9%-3.1%
6M Rtn14.2%24.0%-12.8%12.2%-29.2%-48.7%-0.3%
12M Rtn-44.2%37.9%-17.0%-10.9%-35.0%-51.5%-26.0%
3Y Rtn-34.6%-15.6%-13.4%-52.3%-55.0%-55.1%-43.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%-3.0%0.7%-11.5%6.3%-2.0%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn0.6%-0.9%-17.4%-23.3%28.3%-19.6%-9.2%
6M Excs Rtn-1.2%8.5%-28.2%-3.3%-44.6%-64.2%-15.7%
12M Excs Rtn-57.4%22.1%-31.8%-25.9%-48.7%-63.5%-40.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.8%-87.9%-84.6%-124.3%-127.2%-126.6%-115.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare281,360249,741222,899200,875193,842
Optum Rx116,08799,77335,53535,07832,195
Optum Health95,31971,17424,83117,32712,351
Optum Insight18,93214,5814,3323,8613,767
Optum Eliminations-3,703-2,760   
Corporate and Eliminations-136,373-108,347   
Total371,622324,162287,597257,141242,155


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare16,41514,37911,97512,35910,326
Optum Health6,5606,0324,4623,4342,963
Optum Rx5,1154,4364,1353,8873,902
Optum Insight4,2683,5883,3982,7252,494
Corporate and Eliminations00   
Optum Eliminations00   
Total32,35828,43523,97022,40519,685


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
UnitedHealthcare110,943107,094102,96798,22988,250
Optum Health89,43268,95060,47452,07340,444
Optum Rx51,26647,47640,18139,28036,346
Optum Insight34,17331,09016,86815,42515,181
Optum Eliminations00   
Corporate and Eliminations-12,094-8,905-8,284-7,718-6,332
Total273,720245,705212,206197,289173,889


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,327,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume9,116,014
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity906,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Baker Charles D. 9152025Sell356.05279,613 Form
1Conway Patrick HughChief Executive Officer, Optum6122025Sell305.00589179,6453,171,528Form
2REX JOHN FPresident & CFO5162025Buy291.1217,1754,999,91959,328,308Form
3HEMSLEY STEPHEN JCEO, UHG5162025Buy288.5786,70025,019,019196,081,278Form
4FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK 5162025Buy320.801,533491,7861,935,386Form