SmartKem (SMTK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.4 | Market Cap: $11.3 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
SmartKem (SMTK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.4Market Cap: $11.3 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 126% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -122% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13328% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 84x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Next-Generation Electronics. Themes include Flexible Display Technology, Organic Electronics, and Advanced Display Materials. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10119%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10119% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -128% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 126% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Next-Generation Electronics. Themes include Flexible Display Technology, Organic Electronics, and Advanced Display Materials. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -122% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -13 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -13328% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 84x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10119%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10119% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -128% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 160% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SMTK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, SmartKem (SMTK) experienced a 72.1% stock increase, driven by several key developments:
1. Initial Letter of Intent and Extension with Jericho Energy Ventures. SmartKem announced a non-binding Letter of Intent with Jericho Energy Ventures to form a U.S.-owned, AI-focused infrastructure company, which was later extended in November. This strategic move into the AI sector likely fueled investor optimism.
2. Preliminary Joint Development Agreement with Manz Asia. The company revealed a preliminary joint development agreement with Manz Asia focused on advanced computer and AI chip packaging solutions. This partnership signaled progress in commercializing SmartKem's proprietary semiconductor materials within the rapidly growing AI hardware market.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SMTK Return | - | - | - | 850% | -49% | -49% | 145% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 48% | -27% | 47% | 4% | 65% | 302% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SMTK Win Rate | - | - | 20% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 53% | 32% | 52% | 40% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SMTK Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -88% | -62% | -79% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -3% | -41% | -2% | -7% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Q, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SMTK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5328.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 464 days |
Compare to Q, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, TER
In The Past
SmartKem's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/30/2022. A -98.2% loss requires a 5328.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can SmartKem Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | |
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for SmartKem Stock with 78% Return (vs. -4.5% YTD) [10/6/2025] | Notification |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SMTK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SmartKem
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 177.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.7 |
| Rev LTM | 8,449 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,047 |
| FCF LTM | 2,265 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,413 |
| CFO LTM | 2,582 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,737 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 22.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 159.7 |
| P/S | 8.6 |
| P/EBIT | 25.3 |
| P/E | 29.1 |
| P/CFO | 26.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 63.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 66.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 69.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 158.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 54.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 52.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 64.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 93.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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