RxSight (RXST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.39 | Market Cap: $507.6 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
RxSight (RXST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $12.39Market Cap: $507.6 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% | ||
| Key risksRXST key risks include [1] significant regulatory delays and severe product adoption challenges, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -59% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -62% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -45 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -32% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -14% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| Key risksRXST key risks include [1] significant regulatory delays and severe product adoption challenges, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RXST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining why RxSight (RXST) stock moved by 39.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Exceeded Analyst Expectations: RxSight reported a third-quarter 2025 loss of $0.04 per share, significantly outperforming analysts' consensus estimate of a $0.19 loss per share. Additionally, the company's quarterly revenue of $30.3 million surpassed the consensus estimate of $25.63 million.
2. Improved Gross Margin Guidance for Full-Year 2025: The company raised its full-year 2025 gross margin guidance to a range of 76% to 77%, an increase from its previous guidance of 72% to 74%. This indicates a more optimistic outlook on profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RXST Return | � | � | 13% | 218% | -15% | -63% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | -11% | -7% | 15% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RXST Win Rate | � | 20% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | 58% | 47% | 47% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RXST Max Drawdown | � | � | -20% | -1% | -17% | -81% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | -19% | -17% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, BLCO, STAA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RXST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 461 days | 464 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX
In The Past
RxSight's stock fell -48.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2021. A -48.2% loss requires a 93.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RXST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for RxSight
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,600 |
| Op Inc LTM | 35 |
| FCF LTM | -33 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -22 |
| CFO LTM | 75 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 91 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -14.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -4.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.6 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 1.8 |
| P/E | -9.5 |
| P/CFO | -0.6 |
| Total Yield | -7.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 43.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 31.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research and development, manufacture and sale of light adjustable lenses and related capital | 89 | |||
| Light Delivery Device (LDD) (including training) | 23 | 10 | ||
| Light adjustable intraocular lenses (LAL) | 25 | 4 | ||
| Service warranty, service contracts, and accessories | 2 | 0 | ||
| Single segment | 23 | |||
| Total | 89 | 49 | 23 | 15 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research and development, manufacture and sale of light adjustable lenses and related capital | -50 | |||
| Total | -50 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research and development, manufacture and sale of light adjustable lenses and related capital | -49 | |||
| Total | -49 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/8/2025 | -37.8% | -41.8% | -41.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | -5.6% | -13.2% | -22.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | -1.0% | -6.4% | -6.8% |
| 11/9/2023 | 6.2% | 18.2% | 47.2% |
| 8/7/2023 | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 3/6/2023 | -2.9% | -6.1% | 8.0% |
| 11/7/2022 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| 8/8/2022 | -2.6% | -13.0% | -13.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 10.0% | 26.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.2% | -13.1% | -21.1% |
| Max Positive | 28.2% | 24.0% | 48.9% |
| Max Negative | -37.8% | -41.8% | -41.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |