Research Frontiers (REFR)
Market Price (3/2/2026): $0.98 | Market Cap: $33.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
Research Frontiers (REFR)
Market Price (3/2/2026): $0.98Market Cap: $33.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -162% | |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -67% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10.0% | ||
| Key risksREFR key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a minimal revenue base, Show more. |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 1.0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -162% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -66%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -67% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10.0% |
| Key risksREFR key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and a minimal revenue base, Show more. |
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -47.3% change in REFR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -47.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.89 | 1.00 | -47.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 51.8 | 27.3 | -47.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 34 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -47.3% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REFR | -47.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.4% | 14.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | -3.0% | 4.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.3% change in REFR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.35 | 1.00 | -26.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 0.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 37.2 | 27.3 | -26.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 34 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REFR | -26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.9% | 14.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.3% change in REFR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.35 | 1.00 | -26.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | -16.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 30.8 | 27.3 | -11.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34 | 34 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REFR | -26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | 14.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.6% | 13.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -47.1% change in REFR stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -71.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3012026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.88 | 1.00 | -47.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | 1 | 97.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 96.2 | 27.3 | -71.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 34 | -5.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -47.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/1/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REFR | -47.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 79.6% | 13.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 107.4% | 11.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REFR Return | -39% | 11% | -47% | 69% | -23% | -25% | -65% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -19% | 16% | 14% | -3% | 25% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REFR Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 25% | 67% | 25% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 37% | 47% | 62% | 42% | 90% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REFR Max Drawdown | -40% | -20% | -52% | -8% | -43% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -5% | -30% | -10% | -9% | -31% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GNTX, GLW, PPG, APOG, EMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | REFR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 483.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -71.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 251.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 207 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -90.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 898.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GNTX, GLW, PPG, APOG, EMN
In The Past
Research Frontiers's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Research Frontiers (REFR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Qualcomm for smart glass technology: Research Frontiers develops and licenses core intellectual property for electronically tinting glass, similar to how Qualcomm develops and licenses core chip technology for mobile devices.
Lutron for windows: REFR provides the underlying technology for dynamic control over light, glare, and privacy through windows, akin to how Lutron provides systems for dynamic control over lighting and window shades.
Dolby for dynamic windows: They license fundamental technology that transforms static windows into dynamic, controllable surfaces, much like Dolby licenses core audio technology to enhance sound experiences across various devices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- SPD-SmartGlass Technology Licensing: Research Frontiers licenses its proprietary Suspended Particle Device (SPD) technology, which allows glass and plastic to instantly change tint and control light transmission electronically.
- SPD-SmartGlass: This is the dynamic glass product enabled by their technology, capable of electronically controlling the amount of light, glare, and heat passing through windows, skylights, and displays.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Research Frontiers (REFR) primarily operates on a Business-to-Business (B2B) model. The company develops and licenses its Suspended Particle Device (SPD) SmartGlass technology to manufacturers who then incorporate it into various products, such as automotive panoramic roofs and windows, architectural windows, aircraft windows, and marine applications. REFR earns revenue through licensing fees and royalties on the sales of products using their technology. While Research Frontiers' financial reports indicate that no single licensee accounts for more than 10% of their total revenues, implying a diversified customer base, the following companies are considered major customers due to their prominence in their respective industries and their significant adoption or partnership in the SPD-SmartGlass ecosystem:Major Customers of Research Frontiers (REFR)
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Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Symbol: MBG.DE on Xetra; MBGYY as an OTC ADR in the US)
Mercedes-Benz is a prominent automotive manufacturer that has been a long-standing and highly visible adopter of SPD SmartGlass technology. Their "MAGIC SKY CONTROL" panoramic roofs, available in various high-end models, utilize Research Frontiers' licensed technology, driving demand and showcasing its capabilities in the luxury automotive market.
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Gauzy Ltd. (Private Company)
Gauzy is a leading global developer and manufacturer of smart glass products. They are a significant licensee and partner of Research Frontiers, integrating SPD technology into their diverse product lines for automotive, architectural, and other applications. Gauzy plays a crucial role in bringing SPD-SmartGlass products to various markets worldwide.
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PPG Industries, Inc. (Symbol: PPG on NYSE)
PPG is a global manufacturer of paints, coatings, and specialty materials. They have been a critical partner in the SPD ecosystem, involved in the manufacturing of the SPD film itself, which is then integrated into glass by other licensees. PPG's role in supplying a key component of the SPD technology makes them an important customer for the core technology license from Research Frontiers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Joseph M. Harary, President and Chief Executive Officer (Interim Chief Financial Officer, Board of Directors)
Mr. Harary joined Research Frontiers in 1992 as Vice President and General Counsel, becoming President and Chief Operating Officer in 2002, and Chief Executive Officer in January 2009. He has actively managed and directed all aspects of the company's business, including licensing, raising private and public equity capital, marketing, and government relations. Under his leadership, the company's intellectual property portfolio expanded to over 500 patents. Prior to Research Frontiers, Mr. Harary's corporate law practice at prominent New York City law firms focused on technology, licensing, mergers and acquisitions, securities law, and intellectual property law. He also worked as an economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Mike LaPointe, Vice President - Aerospace Products
Mr. LaPointe joined Research Frontiers in 2000 as Director of Marketing, becoming Vice President of Marketing in 2002 and Vice President of Aerospace Products in 2013. Before joining Research Frontiers, he worked at IBM and founded several companies focused on new technologies. He began advising Research Frontiers on marketing strategy in 1984.
Alexander Kaganowicz, Board of Directors
Dr. Kaganowicz became a director in June 2013 and has been a shareholder of Research Frontiers since 1998. He has been involved in the performance and market testing of SPD products. For 26 years, Dr. Kaganowicz was the proprietor of an automotive services business in Freeport, NY. He holds a Doctorate in Chemistry, has served as Adjunct Associate Professor at the New York Institute of Technology, and worked as a clinical chemist. He also owned and operated several medical supply companies from 1989 to 2005.
Eyal Peso, Board of Directors
Mr. Peso was appointed to the Research Frontiers Board of Directors in June 2023. He is the co-founder, Chairman, and CEO of Gauzy Ltd., an Israeli material science company, which is also a licensee and strategic investor in Research Frontiers. He has led Gauzy from startup to global growth. Prior to Gauzy, he was a business manager at Alvarion Technologies.
Darryl Daigle, Board of Directors
Mr. Daigle has been a shareholder of Research Frontiers since 1991 and was elected to the Board of Directors in June 2012. Since 1987, he has been a principal owner of several profitable family-owned businesses in Louisiana, including SPD Equipment Sales Inc., which sells oilfield and marine equipment, and S&D Bait Company LLC.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Research Frontiers (REFR) primarily revolve around its financial performance, its unique licensing-based business model, and investor sentiment.
- Persistent Unprofitability and Limited Revenue Base: Research Frontiers consistently reports net losses and operates with a very low revenue base for a public company. The company recorded a net loss of $1.31 million for the previous year and a year-to-date net loss of $1.28 million through September 30, 2025. Its operating margin is significantly negative at -161.6%, and its financial health is currently rated as "WEAK." This ongoing unprofitability and a small revenue base ($1M) pose a fundamental challenge to the company's long-term sustainability and growth.
- High Dependence on Licensing and Market Adoption of SPD-SmartGlass Technology: Research Frontiers' entire business model is centered on licensing its proprietary Suspended Particle Device (SPD-Smart) light-control technology. The company's revenue and future prospects are critically dependent on the successful adoption and commercialization of this technology by its licensees in various markets, particularly automotive, architectural, and aerospace. A significant risk materialized when two European licensees filed for bankruptcy, impacting approximately 44% of Research Frontiers' year-to-date revenue in 2025. Delays in project timelines or external factors such as automotive tariffs could further hinder technology adoption and revenue generation.
- Significant Stock Price Volatility and Negative Investor Sentiment: Research Frontiers' stock has demonstrated considerable volatility, experiencing a 47% decline over the past six months and underperforming the broader US market. The stock is noted for having a "high retail influence" and "low institutional validation," with some institutional analysts holding a bearish view on its fundamentals and maintaining a "Sell" rating. This high volatility and prevailing negative institutional sentiment can impact investor confidence and potentially affect the company's ability to attract further investment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence of alternative smart window technologies utilizing micro-blind or MEMS-based systems represents a clear emerging threat. These technologies, distinct from Research Frontiers' Suspended Particle Device (SPD) technology, aim to provide similar variable light control for applications such as automotive sunroofs and windows. As various industry players develop and explore these alternative mechanisms, they pose a direct technological challenge that could achieve comparable or superior performance at a competitive cost, thereby eroding SPD's market share in key applications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Research Frontiers (symbol: REFR) operates primarily in the smart glass industry, specializing in Suspended Particle Device (SPD-Smart) light-control technology. This technology is licensed to companies that manufacture and market SPD-Smart chemical emulsions, films, panels, and related electronics for a variety of end-products, including windows, skylights, and sunroofs.
The addressable markets for Research Frontiers' main products and services can be quantified as follows:
- Global Smart Glass Market: The global smart glass market size was estimated at approximately $7.38 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around $13.01 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.6% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate places the global smart glass market at $6.81 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach $16.74 billion by 2034.
- U.S. Smart Glass Market: The U.S. smart glass market size is projected to reach approximately $12.2 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 10.4%. Another estimate for the U.S. market is $1.60 billion in 2025, forecast to reach $4.11 billion by 2034.
- Global SPD Smart Glass Market: The global SPD smart glass market was valued at $1,294.9 million (approximately $1.29 billion) in 2024 and is estimated to grow to $2,429.1 million (approximately $2.43 billion) by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.8% from 2024 to 2030. Similarly, the global switchable SPD films market was valued at $510.1 million in 2024 and is forecasted to expand at a CAGR of 16.1% to reach $2,692.5 million by 2035.
- U.S. Switchable SPD Films Market: In the United States, the switchable SPD films market was valued at $152.2 million in 2025 and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 16.0% through 2035.
Research Frontiers' SPD-Smart technology finds application in various sectors globally, including automotive (windows, sunroofs, sun visors), aerospace (windows), architectural (windows, sunshades, skylights, interior partitions for homes and buildings), marine, and display products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Research Frontiers (REFR) is expected to experience future revenue growth driven by several key factors over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in the Automotive Sector: The company anticipates continued increased demand for its SPD-SmartGlass technology in new car models, particularly from luxury brands such as Ferrari, McLaren, and Mercedes-Benz. Notably, the Cadillac Celestique and the Mercedes-Benz Vision V show car, which incorporates 75% SPD smart glass, are expected to contribute to this growth. The application of SPD-SmartGlass is also expanding beyond sunroofs to other vehicle areas like side windows.
- Expansion into the Architectural Retrofit Market: Research Frontiers is actively targeting the architectural market, with a planned launch of its architectural retrofit market in the latter half of 2025. A commercial SPD-SmartGlass retrofit window system, unveiled at GlassBuild 2025, offers a cost-effective solution for upgrading existing buildings, including government facilities, embassies, and commercial structures. This initiative is further supported by tax incentives and global energy efficiency regulations.
- Growth in the Aircraft/Aerospace Sector: The aerospace market continues to show growing interest and increased demand for SPD-SmartGlass, with new projects anticipated to drive revenue in this segment.
- Expansion into the Government Market: Leveraging the architectural retrofit system, Research Frontiers explicitly aims to expand its presence within the government market. This expansion is strategically planned to benefit from tax incentives promoting smart glass adoption.
- Introduction of New Products and Technology Integrations: Future revenue growth is expected from the introduction of new car models and other products utilizing the company's SPD-SmartGlass technology. A significant development includes the debut of an innovative dual smart glass stack combining SPD and PDLC technologies in the Mercedes-Benz Vision V show car. The company also highlights the potential for synergistic solutions by integrating SPD technology with OLED transparent displays, transparent photovoltaics, PDLC technology, and Gorilla Glass.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- The number of outstanding shares increased by 0.32% in one year, as of the latest available data.
Inbound Investments
- In February 2022, Research Frontiers Incorporated received $60 million in funding from investors including Walleye Capital LLC, Avestar Capital, LLC, OTV, BlueRed Partners, Waarde Capital, and Avery Dennison Corporation.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Research Frontiers were -$1,463 in the last 12 months.
- The company's business model involves licensing its technology and maintaining low operating costs, relying on global partners to build factories and expand distribution, which minimizes heavy capital outlays by Research Frontiers.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is Research Frontiers Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 02282026 | BMI | Badger Meter | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 02272026 | ITRI | Itron | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FSLR | First Solar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | PEGA | Pegasystems | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,643 |
| Op Inc LTM | 722 |
| FCF LTM | 441 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 471 |
| CFO LTM | 779 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 876 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.4 |
| P/E | 17.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -75.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/20/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -57.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.23 | $1.55 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -19.0% | -35.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.6% | 78.4% |
| Downside Capture | 261.67 | 104.29 |
| Upside Capture | -156.26 | 56.67 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.25 | 0.60 | 0.75 | 1.74 | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| Up Beta | 1.12 | 0.37 | 1.32 | 3.36 | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| Down Beta | -0.60 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 1.74 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| Up Capture | -140% | -78% | -129% | 68% | 49% | 24% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 14 | 18 | 45 | 100 | 301 |
| Down Capture | 205% | 188% | 234% | 164% | 104% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 36 | 70 | 133 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REFR | -26.1% | 78.7% | -0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 20.8% | 27.5% | 0.67 | 13.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.5% | 19.4% | 0.66 | 15.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 81.3% | 25.7% | 2.29 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.4% | 16.9% | 0.58 | 9.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 7.3% | 16.6% | 0.25 | 8.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -22.0% | 44.9% | -0.42 | 15.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REFR | -26.9% | 68.9% | -0.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 16.7% | 24.8% | 0.61 | 11.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.0% | 0.63 | 13.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.5% | 17.1% | 1.12 | 10.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.6% | 19.0% | 0.44 | 10.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 10.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 57.0% | 0.29 | 7.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REFR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REFR | -13.4% | 72.7% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.5% | 24.2% | 0.85 | 15.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 16.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.3% | 15.6% | 0.82 | 7.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 10.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.6% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 13.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.8% | 66.8% | 1.05 | 5.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/07/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/09/2022 | 10-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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