Rogers Communications (RCI)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $36.43 | Market Cap: $19.7 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Rogers Communications (RCI)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $36.43Market Cap: $19.7 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Integrated Telecommunication Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 41%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 37%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 233% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% | Key risksRCI key risks include [1] a substantial debt load following its recent acquisitions and [2] potential reputational damage due to a history of service reliability issues. | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 41%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 37%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include Wireless Services, and Telecom Infrastructure. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -80% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 233% |
| Key risksRCI key risks include [1] a substantial debt load following its recent acquisitions and [2] potential reputational damage due to a history of service reliability issues. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RCI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025, Rogers Communications (RCI) stock experienced a 5.2% movement, influenced by several key developments:
1. Rogers Communications reported strong Third Quarter 2025 results. The company announced a 4% increase in total revenue to C$5.34 billion (C$5.35 billion according to one source) and a 4% rise in service revenue to C$4.7 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. Wireless service revenue reached C$2.1 billion, with 111,000 mobile phone net additions and the lowest postpaid churn in over two years at 0.99%. Despite a slight decrease in adjusted EBITDA, Rogers reaffirmed its 2025 guidance for service revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, and increased its free cash flow outlook.
2. The commercial launch and expansion of Rogers Satellite technology. On December 9, 2025, Rogers commercially launched its satellite-to-mobile service, allowing app-based voice and video calls (e.g., WhatsApp, Google Maps) and supporting Internet of Things (IoT) applications. This service, which builds upon satellite texting services launched in July, significantly extends connectivity to remote areas of Canada.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RCI Return | -3% | 6% | 2% | 3% | -32% | 25% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 8% | -19% | 7% | -7% | -8% | -13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RCI Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 60% | 43% | 57% | 50% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RCI Max Drawdown | -34% | -7% | -20% | -19% | -33% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -7% | -29% | -12% | -21% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCE, TU, CMCSA, CHTR, T.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RCI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 358 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -62.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 168.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3108 days | 1480 days |
Compare to T, ATNI, ELWT, VZ, BCE
In The Past
Rogers Communications's stock fell -39.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -39.2% loss requires a 64.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.4% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -5.0% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.3% | 1.3% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.9% | -28.9% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Rogers Communications
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| Rev LTM | 39,854 |
| Op Inc LTM | 9,506 |
| FCF LTM | 4,132 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,411 |
| CFO LTM | 11,255 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 11,111 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 25.5 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 3.3 |
| P/E | 6.2 |
| P/CFO | 3.6 |
| Total Yield | 18.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| D/E | 1.6 |
| Net D/E | 1.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wireless | 10,222 | 9,197 | 8,768 | 8,530 | 9,250 |
| Cable | 7,005 | 4,071 | 4,072 | 3,946 | 3,954 |
| Media | 2,335 | 2,277 | 1,975 | 1,606 | 2,072 |
| Corporate items and intercompany eliminations | -254 | -149 | -160 | -166 | -203 |
| Total | 19,308 | 15,396 | 14,655 | 13,916 | 15,073 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wireless | 4,986 | 4,469 | 4,067 | 4,345 | |
| Cable | 3,774 | 2,058 | 1,935 | 1,919 | |
| Media | 77 | 69 | 51 | 140 | |
| Corporate items and intercompany eliminations | -256 | -203 | -196 | -192 | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -4,121 | -2,576 | -2,618 | -2,488 | |
| Total | 4,460 | 3,817 | 3,239 | 3,724 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cable | 34,099 | 8,040 | 7,877 | 7,891 | |
| Wireless | 28,613 | 26,298 | 20,639 | 20,105 | |
| Corporate items and intercompany eliminations | 3,674 | 18,624 | 7,769 | 6,473 | |
| Media | 2,896 | 2,693 | 2,569 | 2,550 | |
| Total | 69,282 | 55,655 | 38,854 | 37,019 |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7232025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4242024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4202022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3042022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |