Provident Financial (PROV)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $18.19 | Market Cap: $112.7 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Provident Financial (PROV)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $18.19
Market Cap: $112.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 7.5%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 11%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Inclusion. Themes include Non-Standard Consumer Lending.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%

Key risks
PROV key risks include [1] borrower defaults on its loan portfolio, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Inclusion. Themes include Non-Standard Consumer Lending.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.5%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%
8 Key risks
PROV key risks include [1] borrower defaults on its loan portfolio, Show more.

PROV in ETFs

Weight = PROV's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
DFAS0.00%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Provident Financial (PROV) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings and Net Interest Margin Expansion.

Provident Financial Holdings (PROV), which has a fiscal year ending June 30, reported robust fiscal Q4 2026 earnings on July 28, 2026, just before the specified period began. The company surpassed analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS of $0.35 actual vs. $0.29 consensus) and revenue ($10.59 million actual vs. $10 million estimate), with net income increasing by 61% sequentially to $2.18 million. Additionally, the net interest margin expanded by 8 basis points to 3.21% in fiscal Q4 2026, setting a positive tone for the subsequent period.

2. Continued Net Interest Margin Growth in Fiscal Q1 2027.

The positive trend in profitability continued into fiscal Q1 2027 (ended September 30, 2026), as Provident Financial Holdings reported an 11 basis point sequential increase in its net interest margin, reaching 3.32%. This expansion was primarily driven by a 20 basis point increase in asset yields. While a special cash dividend from the Federal Home Loan Bank contributed approximately 10 basis points to this increase, the adjusted margin of 3.22% still reflected underlying improvements in interest-earning capabilities.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Provident Financial (PROV) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q4 2026 Earnings and Net Interest Margin Expansion.

Provident Financial Holdings (PROV), which has a fiscal year ending June 30, reported robust fiscal Q4 2026 earnings on July 28, 2026, just before the specified period began. The company surpassed analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS of $0.35 actual vs. $0.29 consensus) and revenue ($10.59 million actual vs. $10 million estimate), with net income increasing by 61% sequentially to $2.18 million. Additionally, the net interest margin expanded by 8 basis points to 3.21% in fiscal Q4 2026, setting a positive tone for the subsequent period.

2. Continued Net Interest Margin Growth in Fiscal Q1 2027.

The positive trend in profitability continued into fiscal Q1 2027 (ended September 30, 2026), as Provident Financial Holdings reported an 11 basis point sequential increase in its net interest margin, reaching 3.32%. This expansion was primarily driven by a 20 basis point increase in asset yields. While a special cash dividend from the Federal Home Loan Bank contributed approximately 10 basis points to this increase, the adjusted margin of 3.22% still reflected underlying improvements in interest-earning capabilities.

3. Robust Credit Quality and Effective Risk Management.

Provident Financial Holdings demonstrated sustained strong credit quality throughout the analyzed period. In fiscal Q4 2026, non-performing assets declined to $505,000, representing a low 4 basis points of total assets. This strong credit quality was maintained in fiscal Q1 2027, with nonperforming assets remaining at 4 basis points of total assets, indicating sound lending practices and a healthy loan portfolio.

4. New Share Repurchase Authorization.

On October 22, 2026, Provident Financial Holdings announced a new plan authorizing the repurchase of up to 5% of its common stock. This strategic move signals management's confidence in the company's valuation and its commitment to returning value to shareholders, which can positively influence investor sentiment.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.2% change in PROV stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)17.6218.193.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39402.1%
Net Income Margin (%)15.5%16.6%6.9%
P/E Multiple18.417.1-6.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)661.6%
Cumulative Contribution3.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROV3.2% 
Market (SPY)-1.9%15.1%
Sector (XLF)1.0%29.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.7% change in PROV stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)16.8918.197.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39401.5%
Net Income Margin (%)16.7%16.6%-0.6%
P/E Multiple16.517.13.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)663.1%
Cumulative Contribution7.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROV7.7% 
Market (SPY)2.3%-2.4%
Sector (XLF)10.7%23.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.0% change in PROV stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511052026Change
Stock Price ($)15.1618.1920.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39402.7%
Net Income Margin (%)16.0%16.6%3.6%
P/E Multiple16.017.17.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)765.4%
Cumulative Contribution20.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROV20.0% 
Market (SPY)8.4%14.5%
Sector (XLF)11.1%30.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 70.5% change in PROV stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 96.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311052026Change
Stock Price ($)10.6718.1970.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4140-2.5%
Net Income Margin (%)20.9%16.6%-20.6%
P/E Multiple8.717.196.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7612.2%
Cumulative Contribution70.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PROV70.5% 
Market (SPY)81.3%17.0%
Sector (XLF)85.5%21.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PROV Return9%-14%-4%31%4%17%44%
Peers Return27%2%0%12%3%29%93%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROV Win Rate42%25%50%42%58%73% 
Peers Win Rate63%47%45%47%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROV Max Drawdown-13%-18%-24%-18%-16%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-24%-39%-18%-22%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OCFC, FFBC, CATY, WSFS, UBSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPROVS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-14.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven73 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven73 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-17.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven67 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-17.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven722 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-45.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2307 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.1%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven43 days105 days

Compare to OCFC, FFBC, CATY, WSFS, UBSI

In The Past

Provident Financial's stock fell -14.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPROVS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven73 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-45.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven2307 days140 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-26.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.8%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven118 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-75.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven300.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven1369 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-23.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.2%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven20 days47 days

Compare to OCFC, FFBC, CATY, WSFS, UBSI

In The Past

Provident Financial's stock fell -14.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Provident Financial (PROV)

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) operates as the holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B., a community bank primarily serving consumers and small to mid-sized businesses. The company focuses its operations within the Inland Empire region of Southern California, establishing itself as a local financial institution for its targeted market.

The bank's core products and services include a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and time deposits. On the lending side, Provident Financial offers a comprehensive loan portfolio, including single-family, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, mortgage, commercial business, and various consumer loans to meet diverse customer needs.

In addition to traditional banking services, the company also provides investment services, offering products like annuities and mutual funds, and performs trustee services for real estate transactions. With 12 full-service offices in Riverside County and one in San Bernardino County, Provident Financial is deeply embedded in its local Southern California market, catering to residents and businesses in these areas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

It's like a very localized Wells Fargo or Bank of America, serving only the Inland Empire region of Southern California.

Imagine Chase Bank but operating solely in a few counties in Southern California, catering specifically to local consumers and small businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • Deposit Accounts: Offers various accounts for individuals and businesses to save and manage their money, including checking, savings, money market, and time deposits.
  • Loan Products: Provides financing for a range of needs, such as residential mortgages, commercial real estate, construction, business, and consumer purposes.
  • Investment Services: Facilitates the sale of investment products like annuities and mutual funds to help clients grow their wealth.
  • Trustee Services: Acts as a neutral third party to hold assets for the benefit of others, particularly for real estate transactions.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) operates as a community bank primarily serving a broad base of customers rather than a few major named entities. Based on its description, the company's major customer categories are:

  1. Individual Consumers: These customers utilize a range of personal banking services including checking, savings, and money market accounts, time deposits, single-family mortgages, consumer loans, and investment products such as annuities and mutual funds.
  2. Small to Mid-Sized Businesses: This category encompasses businesses seeking commercial banking services, including checking, savings, and money market accounts, time deposits, commercial real estate loans, construction loans, and commercial business loans to support their operations and growth.
  3. Real Estate Investors and Developers: This group includes individuals and entities involved in real estate, who utilize specialized loan products such as multi-family loans, commercial real estate loans, and construction loans. They may also use the company's trustee services for real estate transactions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Donavon P. Ternes - President and Chief Executive Officer

Donavon P. Ternes became the President and Chief Executive Officer of Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. and Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. on January 2, 2024. Prior to this role, he served as the Chief Financial Officer.

Peter C. Fan - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Corporate Secretary

Peter C. Fan was appointed Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Corporate Secretary of Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. and Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B., effective May 12, 2025. His previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President – Director of Finance and Treasury at Royal Business Bank since February 2024, and before that, as Senior Vice President – Finance at Pacific Western Bank from April 2014 to February 2024. Mr. Fan holds an MBA from UCLA and a Bachelor's in Accounting from USC, and is a Certified Public Accountant in California.

Craig G. Blunden - Chairman of the Board

Craig G. Blunden serves as the Chairman of the Board of Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. He previously held the positions of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer until January 2, 2024. He is also a Non-Executive Chairman at Provident Savings Bank FSB. His board memberships include the California Bankers Association, Monday Morning Group, and Western Bankers Association. Earlier in his career, Mr. Blunden was an Independent Director for the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco and Chairman for the Greater Riverside Chambers of Commerce and the Western League Of Savings Institutions. He earned his undergraduate degree from San Diego State University and an MBA from the University of California.

David S. Weiant - Senior Vice President and Chief Lending Officer

David S. Weiant is the Senior Vice President and Chief Lending Officer of Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B.

Gwendolyn L. Wertz - Senior Vice President, Retail Banking Division

Gwendolyn L. Wertz joined Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. as Senior Vice President of Retail Banking in February 2014. She possesses over 35 years of experience in financial institutions, predominantly in senior management roles. Before joining Provident, Ms. Wertz was with CommerceWest Bank, where she was responsible for commercial banking, treasury management, and specialty banking services. She also served at Opportunity Bank, N.A., leading the commercial treasury sales and service team.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Provident Financial (symbol: PROV) are as follows:
  1. Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rates represent the most significant risk to Provident Financial's net interest margin (NIM) and overall profitability. As a community bank, its earnings are highly sensitive to the difference between the interest it earns on loans and investments and the interest it pays on deposits. The Federal Reserve's path for the federal funds rate is a primary factor influencing the company's profitability, and community banks generally face challenges in managing interest rate risk, particularly in volatile or quickly rising rate environments, or with a flat yield curve. Provident Financial Holdings has experienced decreases in total deposits due to customers seeking higher interest rates, impacting its funding costs.
  2. Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Exposure and Concentration Risk: Provident Financial's loan portfolio includes commercial real estate, multi-family, and construction loans. Community banks in California, including those in Southern California, have a notable concentration of commercial real estate debt, which is a concern for regulators and investors. While Provident Financial Holdings' direct exposure to office building loans (a particularly challenged segment of CRE) was reported as manageable at 3.8% of its loans held for investment, the broader commercial real estate market downturn, especially in California, poses a risk due to potential declines in property values and increased defaults. An increase in nonperforming assets is a trend that demands close attention.
  3. Geographic Concentration and Natural Disaster Risk: Operating exclusively within the Inland Empire region of Southern California makes Provident Financial highly susceptible to local economic conditions and regional-specific events. The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires in Southern California pose a material risk to local communities and, consequently, to banks like Provident Financial. These events can lead to significant property damage, potential increases in mortgage defaults, and challenges related to insurance coverage, directly impacting the bank's loan portfolio and the economic vitality of its service areas. This geographic concentration heightens the impact of such events compared to more diversified institutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The proliferation of digital-only banks (neobanks) and fintech companies that offer banking services entirely online or via mobile applications. These competitors often provide superior user experience, lower fees, and more competitive rates without the overhead of physical branches, directly challenging Provident Financial's traditional branch-based community banking model and attracting customers who prioritize digital convenience.

The entry of large technology companies (Big Tech) into financial services. Companies like Apple, Google, and Amazon are leveraging their extensive user bases, data analytics capabilities, and integrated ecosystems to offer payment solutions, lending products, or even savings accounts. This could erode Provident Financial's customer relationships and market share by providing convenient, tech-driven alternatives that bypass traditional banking channels.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Provident Financial (PROV)

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PROV), operating as Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B., a community bank serving Southern California, is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through the following key areas:

  1. Growth in Targeted Loan Categories: The company continues to focus on and has shown increases in specific loan originations, particularly in single-family, construction, and commercial business loans. These efforts in expanding and managing its loan portfolio directly contribute to interest income, a primary component of revenue.
  2. Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion: Provident Financial Holdings has reported improvements in its net interest margin and anticipates continued expansion in future quarters. An expanding NIM indicates the bank is earning more on its interest-earning assets relative to the cost of its funding, thereby directly increasing net interest income and overall revenue.
  3. Prudent Loan Origination and Portfolio Management: While the company's strategy is centered on defending margins rather than rapid overall revenue growth, a disciplined approach to loan originations and effective management of its existing loan portfolio, particularly in profitable segments, will be crucial. This includes maintaining strong asset quality, which supports sustainable lending activities and prevents revenue erosion from non-performing assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here's a summary of Provident Financial's (PROV) capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • In January 2026, the Board of Directors authorized a new stock repurchase program for up to 5% of the company's outstanding common stock, representing approximately 318,875 shares, effective January 23, 2026. This program superseded the January 2025 authorization. The estimated dollar value of this authorization is approximately $5.19 million, based on a stock price of $16.27 per share at the time.
  • In January 2025, the company's Board of Directors authorized a stock repurchase program allowing for the buyback of up to 334,773 shares, equating to 5% of its common stock, starting January 24, 2025. This program superseded a previous authorization from September 2023. The estimated dollar value of this authorization is approximately $5.45 million, using a proxy share price of $16.27.
  • During the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, Provident Financial repurchased 285,170 shares of its common stock at an average cost of $15.04 per share, totaling approximately $4.29 million. As of June 30, 2025, 217,028 shares remained available for future purchase under the existing repurchase program.

Peer Outperformance in Regional Banks

PROV has trailed 64% of its 262 Regional Banks peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are FBP, BPOP and CATY. Regional Banks ranks 8th of 18 industries in Financials by median 5Y return.
Share of Regional Banks constituents that PROV has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
32%
of 281 industry peers · 21.7% return
3Y
48%
of 273 industry peers · 84.3% return
5Y
36%
of 262 industry peers · 30.9% return
Regional Banks peers with revenue growth within 4pp of PROV's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
PROV Provident Financial -0.8% 17.1x 21.7%84.3%30.9% —
FBP First BanCorp 2.9% 10.7x 33.9%101.1%117.2% +86pp
BPOP Popular 2.8% 10.3x 41.4%144.6%117.1% +86pp
CATY Cathay General Bancorp 2.0% 12.4x 41.7%91.0%67.5% +37pp
MTB M&T Bank 0.8% 10.5x 23.3%98.8%65.8% +35pp
CFG Citizens Financial 2.1% 11.9x 27.7%175.9%64.0% +33pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Financials sector, ranked by 5Y. Regional Banks is PROV's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Reinsurance 6 33.1%75.7%125.1% SPNT 168% · RGA 162% · RNR 141%
Investment Banking & Brokerage 13 -3.9%89.1%93.1% IBKR 305% · SNEX 152% · GS 141%
Diversified Banks 12 30.0%140.4%90.3% CM 144% · RY 129% · JPM 127%
Life & Health Insurance 20 14.3%52.3%75.4% JXN 514% · UNM 224% · FG 188%
Property & Casualty Insurance 42 18.9%76.8%66.8% TRV 178% · PGR 172% · ACGL 168%
Multi-Sector Holdings 3 10.1%53.8%59.4% BRK-B 99% · VOYA 59% · JEF 37%
Multi-line Insurance 9 9.5%71.4%59.4% AIZ 105% · GNW 104% · L 98%
Regional Banks ← 263 30.0%87.5%46.7% CBC 268% · FCNCA 176% · NIC 136%
Insurance Brokers 15 5.5%13.4%33.4% LIFE 287% · ARX 89% · WTW 56%
Financial Exchanges & Data 15 20.6%37.2%27.9% CBOE 183% · VIRT 131% · CME 71%
Asset Management & Custody Banks 83 -5.9%22.8%12.3% VCTR 210% · AAMI 207% · WT 205%
Consumer Finance 30 2.9%81.0%8.1% ENVA 330% · FCFS 130% · ECPG 111%
Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance 14 -46.5%36.8%2.5% FNMA 327% · FMCC 293% · ACT 158%
Diversified Financial Services 4 -1.6%20.1%-1.1% FRHC 153% · EQH 71%
Specialized Finance 3 15.8%31.5%-19.7% HASI -20% · CACC -24%
Transaction & Payment Processing Services 17 19.3%9.1%-29.4% V 103% · MA 94% · CPAY 83%
Mortgage REITs 35 -18.0%-6.1%-37.2% RITM 36% · DX 17% · AGNC 10%
Diversified Capital Markets 20 -47.1%-8.5%-70.1% LPLA 83% · TW 38% · RIOT -53%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Provident Financial Stock Really Go?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Mkt Price18.1918.3532.4964.1579.0748.3840.44
Mkt Cap0.11.33.44.34.06.73.7
Rev LTM404389968711,1171,280933
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM9113756534286534410
FCF 3Y Avg782437396200472298
CFO LTM9122792541297556419
CFO 3Y Avg890463402211488307

Growth & Margins

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Rev Chg LTM2.7%13.7%16.9%14.5%5.9%14.6%14.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%0.2%6.9%2.0%3.5%6.3%2.7%
Rev Chg Q8.5%32.6%15.3%13.1%6.3%5.8%10.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%7.9%3.6%3.0%1.6%1.4%2.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-------
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM22.4%27.8%79.5%62.2%26.6%43.4%35.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.8%21.9%50.2%50.0%19.5%42.6%32.3%
FCF/Rev LTM21.3%25.7%75.9%61.4%25.6%41.7%33.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.6%20.0%47.4%49.3%18.4%41.3%30.7%

Valuation

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Mkt Cap0.11.33.44.34.06.73.7
P/S2.82.93.44.93.65.23.5
P/Op Inc-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E17.126.911.812.412.113.012.7
P/CFO12.710.64.37.913.612.011.3
Total Yield9.0%7.3%11.4%10.3%9.3%10.9%9.8%
Dividend Yield3.2%3.6%3.0%2.3%1.0%3.2%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.9%7.4%15.5%11.2%5.9%9.0%8.2%
D/E1.41.70.30.00.10.10.2
Net D/E0.9-0.1-1.1-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.3

Returns

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
1M Rtn-0.9%9.6%3.6%6.6%4.1%5.0%4.6%
3M Rtn1.5%-5.0%-3.0%1.3%-2.9%0.4%-1.3%
6M Rtn7.7%-1.8%8.5%14.0%10.3%13.3%9.4%
12M Rtn21.7%3.7%40.5%41.7%48.2%37.5%39.0%
3Y Rtn84.3%47.2%82.9%91.0%109.8%79.1%83.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.8%12.9%6.7%10.0%7.2%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn3.2%-3.6%-1.8%2.7%-1.8%1.8%0.0%
6M Excs Rtn2.9%-6.6%3.7%9.2%5.5%8.5%4.6%
12M Excs Rtn8.7%-7.4%29.2%30.3%38.2%25.8%27.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-12.8%-16.5%13.3%23.9%48.2%8.3%10.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutional clients3939413635
Total3939413635


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
Provident Bank91310513
Provident Bank Mortgage8-2331310
Total1712431923


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024201920182017
Banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutional clients674  
Provident Bank   76
Provident Bank Mortgage   -5-1
Total67425


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20192018201720162015
Banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutional clients1,085    
Provident Bank 1,0791,084982949
Provident Bank Mortgage 97117190 
Provident Bank Mortgage    225
Total1,0851,1761,2011,1711,175


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$18.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date06/28/1996 
Distance from 52W High-2.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$18.34$17.10
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-0.8%6.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility8.6%11.3%
Downside Capture10.303.26
Upside Capture25.0926.51
Correlation (S&P 500)16.8%14.9%
PROV Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.050.140.15-0.030.130.23
Up Beta-1.330.040.14-0.070.150.19
Down Beta-0.14-0.110.06-0.090.090.27
Up Capture12%20%23%8%17%9%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days10213468127362
Down Capture-2%26%8%-12%5%33%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10182647100328

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROV
PROV21.3%11.3%1.37-
Sector ETF (XLF)11.1%15.2%0.4731.0%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4114.0%
Gold (GLD)3.6%28.7%0.117.4%
Commodities (DBC)37.7%21.2%1.40-8.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.0%14.2%0.5514.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.8%43.3%-0.427.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROV
PROV7.6%20.1%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLF)9.1%18.4%0.3620.7%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4815.9%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.74-3.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.29-1.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.9%-0.0512.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.9%51.5%0.297.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PROV
PROV4.3%27.3%0.19-
Sector ETF (XLF)13.3%22.1%0.5443.2%
Equity (SPY)14.9%18.0%0.7034.5%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.5%0.59-3.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3313.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2331.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.3%66.2%1.0111.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020267.7%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity6.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/5/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/20260.2%0.1% 
7/28/20261.0%1.9%5.0%
4/28/20260.3%-0.6%0.7%
1/27/20260.6%0.2%0.7%
10/28/20250.6%-1.9%-1.9%
7/28/2025-0.2%0.6%2.0%
4/28/20251.3%3.4%3.2%
1/28/20251.2%-1.2%-3.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive15912
# Negative91511
Median Positive0.6%0.6%2.6%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.9%-3.2%
Max Positive4.5%3.4%6.6%
Max Negative-6.5%-7.1%-12.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/20260.2%0.1% 
7/28/20261.0%1.9%5.0%
4/28/20260.3%-0.6%0.7%
1/27/20260.6%0.2%0.7%
10/28/20250.6%-1.9%-1.9%
7/28/2025-0.2%0.6%2.0%
4/28/20251.3%3.4%3.2%
1/28/20251.2%-1.2%-3.2%
10/28/2024-0.3%-0.5%4.2%
7/29/2024-6.5%-3.3%1.4%
4/29/20244.5%1.4%4.1%
1/29/20240.4%0.3%-4.7%
10/25/2023-4.0%-7.1%-11.2%
7/26/20230.8%-1.4%-4.9%
4/26/2023-0.1%-5.9%-12.2%
1/27/20230.4%0.6%-0.1%
10/25/2022-2.7%-3.4%4.3%
7/26/2022-0.4%-0.3%-1.2%
4/26/20220.0%-3.3%-6.5%
1/26/20220.8%-0.2%-1.5%
10/26/2021-1.1%-0.7%0.7%
7/28/2021-2.7%-3.1%-0.7%
4/27/20211.2%3.2%6.6%
1/28/20210.0%-2.1%1.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive15912
# Negative91511
Median Positive0.6%0.6%2.6%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.9%-3.2%
Max Positive4.5%3.4%6.6%
Max Negative-6.5%-7.1%-12.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202609/02/202610-K
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/06/202610-Q
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/29/202510-K
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/07/202510-Q
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/30/202410-K
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202309/05/202310-K
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/08/202310-Q
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202609/02/202610-K
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/06/202610-Q
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/29/202510-K
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/07/202510-Q
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/30/202410-K
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202309/05/202310-K
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/08/202310-Q
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202209/02/202210-K
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/08/202210-Q
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202109/03/202110-K
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/08/202110-Q
09/30/202011/06/202010-Q
06/30/202009/04/202010-K
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/10/202010-Q
09/30/201911/08/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 10/7/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell609202617.001,01217,204151,419Form
2Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell605202617.101,00017,100169,615Form
3Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell602202616.923,00050,760184,749Form
4Wertz, GwendolynSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell1113202515.644,80075,072321,199Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell609202617.001,01217,204151,419Form
2Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell605202617.101,00017,100169,615Form
3Weiant, DavidSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell602202616.923,00050,760184,749Form
4Wertz, GwendolynSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell1113202515.644,80075,072321,199Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/5/2026