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Provident Financial (PROV)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $15.96 | Market Cap: $104.8 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Provident Financial (PROV)


Market Price (12/26/2025): $15.96
Market Cap: $104.8 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 154%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Key risks
PROV key risks include [1] borrower defaults on its loan portfolio, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Inclusion. Themes include Non-Standard Consumer Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1%, FCF Yield is 7.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Financial Inclusion. Themes include Non-Standard Consumer Lending.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 154%
7 Key risks
PROV key risks include [1] borrower defaults on its loan portfolio, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PROV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 5.1% stock movement for Provident Financial (PROV) from August 31, 2025, to December 26, 2025:

1. Positive Market Reaction to Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 Performance: Despite reporting a miss on EPS expectations for Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 in July 2025, Provident Financial's stock experienced a 1.38% rise, fueled by an increase in loan originations and a reduction in operating expenses. This positive investor sentiment, observed just prior to the specified period, likely contributed to a favorable outlook entering August 2025.

2. Revenue Exceeding Expectations in Q1 Fiscal Year 2026: On October 28, 2025, Provident Financial announced its Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 earnings, reporting revenues of $14.15 million. This figure surpassed the consensus estimate of $10.20 million, demonstrating stronger-than-expected top-line performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.5% change in PROV stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 6.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
925202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)15.6216.163.47%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39.0039.230.58%
Net Income Margin (%)16.04%15.39%-4.06%
P/E Multiple16.4917.586.59%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6.616.570.60%
Cumulative Contribution3.47%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PROV3.5% 
Market (SPY)4.9%18.0%
Sector (XLF)4.2%41.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.2% change in PROV stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 13.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
626202512252025Change
Stock Price ($)15.2216.166.17%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)39.1639.230.18%
Net Income Margin (%)16.81%15.39%-8.46%
P/E Multiple15.4517.5813.80%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6.686.571.71%
Cumulative Contribution6.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PROV6.2% 
Market (SPY)13.1%17.8%
Sector (XLF)8.0%42.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.4% change in PROV stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202412252025Change
Stock Price ($)15.6316.163.42%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)38.4939.231.92%
Net Income Margin (%)19.46%15.39%-20.92%
P/E Multiple14.2617.5823.30%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6.836.573.91%
Cumulative Contribution3.26%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PROV3.4% 
Market (SPY)15.8%27.8%
Sector (XLF)14.9%37.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.4% change in PROV stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 68.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1226202212252025Change
Stock Price ($)12.2116.1632.36%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37.3239.235.11%
Net Income Margin (%)22.82%15.39%-32.57%
P/E Multiple10.4317.5868.59%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)7.276.579.72%
Cumulative Contribution31.11%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025
ReturnCorrelation
PROV38.8% 
Market (SPY)48.3%20.4%
Sector (XLF)52.6%24.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PROV Return-25%9%-14%-4%31%4%-8%
Peers Return-14%27%2%0%12%8%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PROV Win Rate42%42%25%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate48%63%47%45%47%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PROV Max Drawdown-46%-3%-15%-18%-2%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-2%-16%-33%-15%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OCFC, FFBC, CATY, WSFS, UBSI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPROVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven59 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1136.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, CBC, CBK, HYNE

In The Past

Provident Financial's stock fell -40.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -40.6% loss requires a 68.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Provident Financial (PROV)

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. that provides community banking services to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in the Inland Empire region of Southern California. Its deposit products include checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as time deposits; and loan portfolio consists of single-family, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, mortgage, commercial business, and consumer loans. The company also offers investment services comprising the sale of investment products, such as annuities and mutual funds; and trustee services for real estate transactions. It operates through 12 full-service banking offices in Riverside County and one full-service banking office in San Bernardino County. The company was founded in 1956 and is based in Riverside, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Provident Financial (PROV):

  • Capital One for UK consumers with developing or lower credit scores. (Reflecting Vanquis Bank's focus on credit cards for customers building or rebuilding their credit history.)
  • OneMain Financial for UK personal loans and vehicle financing for non-prime customers. (Highlighting Moneybarn and other lending activities to individuals who may not qualify for mainstream credit.)
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  • Credit Cards: Provides credit card facilities, primarily to individuals with limited or adverse credit histories.
  • Personal Loans: Offers unsecured personal loans to customers seeking funds for various purposes, often those overlooked by mainstream banks.
  • Vehicle Finance: Specialises in hire purchase agreements for used cars and vans, catering to customers who struggle to obtain finance from traditional lenders.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Provident Financial (symbol: PROV) primarily sold financial products and services to individuals. It is important to note that Provident Financial plc de-listed from the London Stock Exchange in December 2023. Its constituent businesses have either been sold or demerged into a separate public entity (Vanquis Banking Group, symbol: VANQ).

Historically, when operating as a public company, Provident Financial served the following categories of individual customers:

  1. Customers seeking credit cards and personal loans: Served by its Vanquis Bank division (now part of Vanquis Banking Group), this category included individuals with adverse or limited credit histories who were often underserved by traditional high-street banks.
  2. Customers seeking vehicle finance: Served by its Moneybarn division, this category comprised individuals looking for used car finance, particularly those who might have difficulty obtaining credit from prime lenders.
  3. Customers seeking small-sum, short-term unsecured credit: Historically served by its Provident Personal Credit division (which ceased new lending in 2021 and was later sold), this category targeted individuals with limited access to mainstream banking and credit.

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  • KPMG LLP
  • TransUnion (TRU)

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Ian McLaughlin, Chief Executive Officer

Ian McLaughlin joined Vanquis Banking Group as Chief Executive Officer in August 2023. He brings over 30 years of experience in the financial services industry, with expertise spanning consumer finance, motor finance, savings, mortgages, wealth management, and insurance. Previously, he served as the CEO of Bank of Ireland UK Plc starting in 2019. Before that role, he held senior retail banking positions at Royal Bank of Scotland (now NatWest Group), where he was involved in developing specialist consumer and commercial financial services propositions. McLaughlin has a proven track record of driving growth by enhancing customer service and optimizing distribution. He has also served as a non-executive director on various bank and technology company boards.

Dave Watts, Chief Financial Officer

Dave Watts became the Chief Financial Officer of Vanquis Banking Group in 2023. He has nearly 30 years of experience with HSBC, where he held various global, regional, and country-level financial roles. Notably, he served as the CFO of HSBC UK Bank plc from 2017 to 2021 and also held the position of CFO for HSBC's European operations. Watts began his professional career as a Chartered Accountant at KPMG and is also a qualified treasurer.

Michael Mustard, General Counsel & Company Secretary

Michael Mustard serves as the General Counsel and Company Secretary for Vanquis Banking Group Plc. He was appointed as Company Secretary on November 6, 2024.

Richard King, Group Corporate Communications Director

Richard King is the Group Corporate Communications Director at Vanquis Banking Group (formerly Provident Financial Group). He possesses extensive experience in corporate communications, media relations, and public affairs, having held roles at notable organizations such as Legal & General, HM Treasury, and Barclays Global Investors. His expertise includes crisis communications and reputation management. King earned a BA Hons in History & Politics from The Manchester Metropolitan University.

Jem Walters, Chief Technology Officer

Jem Walters is the Chief Technology Officer for Vanquis Banking Group Plc. He is also a co-founder and CTO of Snoop, a FinTech startup that utilizes Open Banking and artificial intelligence to analyze customer transactions and spending habits. Snoop is now one of Vanquis Banking Group's brands. Walters has over 20 years of experience in technology leadership within the finance and banking industry, having contributed to the growth of Virgin Money from its startup phase in 1995.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (symbol: PROV), a financial services company operating as Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B., primarily serving consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in Southern California, are as follows:

  1. Credit Risk: As a banking institution, Provident Financial Holdings is exposed to the risk that borrowers may default on their loans. The company's primary operations involve investing deposited funds into various types of loans, including single-family, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, commercial business, and consumer mortgages. This risk is evident in the financial reporting of similar banking entities, which show significant provisions for credit losses related to loans.
  2. Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can significantly impact the bank's profitability by affecting its net interest margin, which is the difference between interest earned on assets and interest paid on liabilities. The bank's financial performance is closely tied to the average cost of its deposits and borrowings, and fluctuations in these rates, alongside the rates earned on its loan portfolio, directly influence its earnings.
  3. Liquidity Risk: The ability of Provident Financial Holdings to meet its financial obligations, such as deposit withdrawals and loan disbursements, depends on maintaining adequate liquidity. While not explicitly detailed for PROV in the provided snippets, managing economic risks, including liquidity risk, is a standard practice for financial institutions like Provident Financial Services, Inc., which operates a similar banking model.

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Provident Financial plc, now operating as Vanquis Banking Group plc since March 2023, primarily serves customers in the United Kingdom with sub-prime or non-standard credit histories. The company's main products and services include credit cards, unsecured personal loans, and secured vehicle finance.

The addressable markets for these products in the UK are as follows:

  • Credit Cards (UK): The overall UK credit card market is substantial. In 2023, credit card issuance generated an estimated £13.8 billion in revenue. The total value of credit card transactions in the UK fluctuated between £19 billion and £21 billion between June 2022 and March 2023, reaching £20.7 billion as of June 2023. In 2024, UK consumers spent £249 billion on credit card transactions, and this figure is projected to rise in 2025. The UK credit card market is projected to reach over £295 billion in 2025, a 7.5% increase from £282 billion in 2024. Provident Financial (now Vanquis Banking Group) focuses on the "non-standard lending market" and "mid-cost and near-prime credit markets". The financially under-served market in the UK, which includes those who may have difficulty accessing credit from mainstream lenders, was estimated at 20.2 million adults in 2022. This represents a 50% increase from 2016. An additional 8.9 million adults exhibit signs of financial fragility. This segment is a key part of the addressable market for Vanquis Bank's credit cards.
  • Unsecured Personal Loans (UK): The UK lending market for higher-risk individuals (sub-prime customers) contracted by approximately 34% since 2019. However, the sub-prime loans industry in the UK is experiencing a resurgence in 2025 due to economic shifts and growing demand for accessible financial products. For borrowers with low credit scores or inconsistent financial histories, these loans can include personal loans.
  • Secured Vehicle Finance (UK): Moneybarn, a brand of Vanquis Banking Group, offers secured vehicle finance for new and used cars, motorbikes, and light commercial vehicles. Provident Financial acquired Moneybarn in 2014, noting significant growth potential and considerable unmet demand in the non-standard car finance market. The market for non-prime car finance is a key focus for Moneybarn.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Provident Financial (PROV) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Net Interest Margin (NIM) Expansion: Provident Financial anticipates continued growth in its net interest margin. This is supported by a strategy to increase the yield on interest-earning assets and manage funding costs effectively. The company's net interest margin increased in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 to 3.00% and management expects further opportunities for expansion.
  2. Disciplined Loan Portfolio Growth: The company has adopted a more growth-oriented short-term strategy for balance sheet management, emphasizing disciplined loan growth. This includes focusing on expanding lending portfolios, particularly in single-family, multi-family, and commercial real estate loans.
  3. Upward Repricing of Adjustable-Rate Loans: A portion of Provident Financial's loan portfolio consists of adjustable-rate loans that are repricing at higher interest rates. For example, approximately $107 million of loans are expected to reprice upwards in the December 2025 quarter, contributing to increased interest income.
  4. Improving Deposit Composition and Lower Funding Costs: Provident Financial aims to enhance its community banking operations by improving the composition of its deposit base and reducing reliance on higher-cost retail time deposits. This strategic effort to manage and potentially lower funding costs contributes to net interest margin expansion and overall revenue growth.

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Capital Allocation Decisions for Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV)

Share Repurchases

  • On January 23, 2025, Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. authorized a new stock repurchase program allowing for the repurchase of up to approximately 334,773 shares, representing 5% of its common stock, over a one-year period starting January 24, 2025.
  • In fiscal year 2025, the company repurchased 285,170 shares of its common stock at an average cost of $15.04 per share. As of June 30, 2025, 217,028 shares remained available for future purchase under the current program.
  • Approximately 197,000 shares of common stock were repurchased in fiscal year 2024.

Share Issuance

  • As of March 31, 2025, there were outstanding stock options to purchase 223,000 shares of the Corporation's common stock, a decrease from 410,000 shares as of March 31, 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • Provident Financial Holdings' net change in long-term investments was $20 million in 2025, $24 million in 2024, and $29 million in 2023, reflecting net cash flows from the sale and purchase of investments with maturities greater than one year.
  • The company had a net change in long-term investments of $36 million in 2022.
  • In 2021 and 2020, there were net sales of long-term investments, with a net change of -$107 million and -$25 million respectively.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to PROV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.8%13.8%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-0.5%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.2%-11.2%-12.1%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Provident Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Mkt Price16.1619.7225.8050.2057.1139.5632.68
Mkt Cap0.11.12.43.53.25.62.8
Rev LTM393918857821,0561,178833
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM890270395217481244
FCF 3Y Avg995310372224446267
CFO LTM996290400226496258
CFO 3Y Avg10103330376233459282

Growth & Margins

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Rev Chg LTM1.9%1.8%9.0%4.4%0.5%14.3%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.9%0.7%11.7%1.6%9.3%5.9%3.9%
Rev Chg Q2.4%6.3%16.3%11.1%1.1%23.6%8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%1.6%3.8%2.8%0.3%5.5%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM22.0%24.5%32.7%51.2%21.5%42.1%28.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.7%24.7%38.9%47.9%22.6%42.2%32.3%
FCF/Rev LTM21.0%22.9%30.5%50.5%20.6%40.8%26.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.5%22.9%36.5%47.4%21.7%40.9%30.0%

Valuation

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
Mkt Cap0.11.12.43.53.25.62.8
P/S2.72.92.84.43.04.82.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E17.614.19.511.311.413.012.2
P/CFO12.311.78.48.614.111.311.5
Total Yield9.2%7.1%14.3%11.6%9.9%11.4%10.6%
Dividend Yield3.5%0.0%3.8%2.8%1.2%3.7%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%10.5%14.5%12.8%8.8%9.7%10.2%
D/E2.01.70.30.10.10.10.2
Net D/E1.50.3-1.4-0.5-0.4-0.9-0.5

Returns

PROVOCFCFFBCCATYWSFSUBSIMedian
NameProviden.OceanFir.First Fi.Cathay G.WSFS Fin.United B. 
1M Rtn6.2%4.0%3.3%2.6%0.8%5.2%3.6%
3M Rtn3.5%11.3%1.0%4.5%4.0%7.0%4.2%
6M Rtn6.2%14.2%7.2%11.6%3.5%9.7%8.4%
12M Rtn3.4%14.9%-2.2%7.4%7.1%7.5%7.3%
3Y Rtn32.4%6.0%19.8%34.9%29.6%10.8%24.7%
1M Excs Rtn3.8%4.3%3.9%2.5%-0.2%4.2%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-1.5%6.4%-4.0%-0.4%-1.0%2.1%-0.7%
6M Excs Rtn-6.7%1.4%-5.7%-1.3%-9.4%-3.2%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn-15.0%-0.8%-18.7%-8.1%-7.6%-8.5%-8.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.8%-73.4%-59.9%-44.1%-48.6%-66.0%-55.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutional clients3941363541
Total3941363541


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Banking and financial services to individuals, businesses, and institutional clients7    
Total7    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$16.16 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date06/28/1996 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$15.49$14.98
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA4.3%7.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility15.6%20.0%
Downside Capture30.9733.97
Upside Capture39.8732.21
Correlation (SPY)18.1%27.4%
PROV Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.320.170.180.270.270.22
Up Beta-0.03-0.27-0.040.450.140.18
Down Beta-0.79-0.040.080.060.400.29
Up Capture41%25%21%21%18%5%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days10223259115354
Down Capture67%47%35%37%43%39%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9172553116346

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of PROV With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 PROVSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return2.1%18.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.1%
Annualized Volatility19.9%19.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.010.750.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 36.9%27.4%-9.2%-6.8%30.1%5.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of PROV With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 PROVSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.5%16.3%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.7%
Annualized Volatility22.9%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.210.720.700.970.510.170.60
Correlation With Other Assets 24.1%14.7%-5.5%3.4%10.8%6.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of PROV With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 PROVSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return2.0%13.0%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.3%
Annualized Volatility27.6%22.3%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.110.540.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 42.9%34.7%-6.1%14.0%31.3%11.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,214
Short Interest: % Change Since 1130202511.5%
Average Daily Volume11,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.90
Basic Shares Quantity6,566,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-0.1%-1.1%-2.2%
7/28/2025-1.9%-1.1%-0.5%
4/28/20251.8%4.7%6.3%
1/28/20250.7%-0.3%-1.5%
10/28/20240.1%-0.3%3.5%
7/29/20244.2%0.8%4.6%
4/29/2024-4.0%-0.4%-0.1%
1/29/20242.1%2.5%-3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1398
# Negative111516
Median Positive1.8%1.8%4.0%
Median Negative-3.5%-1.6%-1.8%
Max Positive5.6%4.7%8.4%
Max Negative-4.5%-7.8%-11.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025829202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024830202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023905202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022208202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022902202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021