Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 33x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Geriatric Care, Telehealth Platforms, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 33x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PNTG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 21.1% stock movement for Pennant (PNTG) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Pennant Group reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced Q3 2025 EPS of $0.30, beating the consensus estimate of $0.29, and revenue of $229.04 million, exceeding the $221.96 million consensus.

2. Following the positive earnings report, Pennant Group raised its full-year 2025 guidance. Management increased the full-year revenue guidance to a midpoint of $930 million and adjusted EPS to a range of $1.14 to $1.18.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PNTG Return76%-60%-52%27%91%10%-11%
Peers Return13%5%9%-1%-12%-15%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PNTG Win Rate75%17%50%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate15%15%15%10%6%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PNTG Max Drawdown-69%-67%-60%-6%0%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-0%-4%-5%-13%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPNTGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven628.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven226.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days

Compare to ACHC, AMTU, AVG, MCTA, SRTA


In The Past

Pennant's stock fell -86.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -86.3% loss requires a 628.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pennant (PNTG)

Better Bets than Pennant (PNTG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PNTG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pennant

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PNTGACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NamePennant Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Price29.0814.69---4.4414.69
Mkt Cap1.01.3----1.2
Rev LTM8473,266---254847
Op Inc LTM43444----2443
FCF LTM36-347----20-20
FCF 3Y Avg22-252----32-32
CFO LTM48335---148
CFO 3Y Avg32308----1832

Growth & Margins

PNTGACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NamePennant Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Rev Chg LTM29.9%4.6%---6.7%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg22.7%9.0%---36.5%22.7%
Rev Chg Q26.8%4.4%---4.2%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%1.1%---1.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.0%13.6%----9.6%5.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%16.2%----22.0%5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-1.0%---3.0%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM5.7%10.3%---0.5%5.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%10.2%----8.9%4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.3%-10.6%----7.7%-7.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%-7.8%----14.6%-7.8%

Valuation

PNTGACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NamePennant Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
Mkt Cap1.01.3----1.2
P/S1.00.7----0.9
P/EBIT19.88.2----14.0
P/E32.720.9----26.8
P/CFO18.26.7----12.5
Total Yield3.1%4.8%----3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.3%-7.6%-----2.1%
D/E0.31.1----0.7
Net D/E0.31.0----0.7

Returns

PNTGACHCAMTUAVGMCTASRTAMedian
NamePennant Acadia H.Amatuhi Anew Hea.Charming.Strata C. 
1M Rtn16.1%-31.1%----12.9%-12.9%
3M Rtn17.8%-37.0%---7.0%7.0%
6M Rtn0.7%-35.0%-----17.2%
12M Rtn-6.2%-65.2%-----35.7%
3Y Rtn174.6%-83.2%----45.7%
1M Excs Rtn16.1%-31.0%----12.9%-12.9%
3M Excs Rtn15.4%-43.2%---0.9%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn-14.0%-49.7%-----31.9%
12M Excs Rtn-20.3%-77.4%-----48.8%
3Y Excs Rtn120.0%-155.4%-----17.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Health and Hospice Services386342310254207
Senior Living Services148131130137132
All Other110   
Total545473440391339


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity981,519
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.6%
Average Daily Volume329,973
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.97
Basic Shares Quantity34,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021