Obsidian Therapeutics (OBX)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $27.0 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Obsidian Therapeutics (OBX)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $27.0Market Cap: $-Sector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 133% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 133% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OBX Return | - | - | - | - | - | -17% | -17% |
| Peers Return | -36% | -63% | -32% | -36% | 16% | 13% | -87% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OBX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 31% | 30% | 35% | 37% | 47% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OBX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -71% | -70% | -73% | -65% | -53% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IOVA, LYEL, ALLO, CRBU, ATRA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OBX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 142 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 166 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 123 days |
In The Past
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
OBX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 767 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 11 |
| Op Inc LTM | -188 |
| FCF LTM | -110 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -155 |
| CFO LTM | -109 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -154 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -21.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 69.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -24.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -6.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 26.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -579.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -795.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -10.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -507.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -665.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -510.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -689.3% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | ||||||
| Up Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Down Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Up Capture | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | ||||||
| Down Capture | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OBX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBX | -19.2% | 133.1% | -12.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 28.7% | 15.5% | 1.42 | -92.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 40.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | -90.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | 29.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | -35.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | -95.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OBX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBX | -4.2% | 133.1% | -12.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.2% | 15.0% | 0.23 | -92.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 40.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | -90.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 29.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | -35.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | -95.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OBX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBX | -2.1% | 133.1% | -12.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.1% | 16.6% | 0.49 | -92.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 40.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | -90.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 29.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | -35.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | -95.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 07/02/2026 | 424B3 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 07/02/2026 | 424B3 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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