Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 133%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Hydrogel Wound Care, Transdermal Drug Delivery Systems, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 133%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Hydrogel Wound Care, Transdermal Drug Delivery Systems, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NXGL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Financial Results: NexGel significantly missed analyst expectations for its third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.08, considerably lower than the forecasted -$0.01. Additionally, revenue totaled $2.9 million, falling short of the anticipated $3.45 million.

2. Flat Year-over-Year Revenue Performance: NexGel's net revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was reported as $2.93 million, showing virtually no change compared to the $2.94 million generated in the third quarter of 2024, indicating a stagnant top-line growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NXGL Return---52%70%109%-63%-38%
Peers Return36%31%-16%2%14%4%81%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NXGL Win Rate- 42%67%67%30% 
Peers Win Rate57%65%45%57%60%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NXGL Max Drawdown---55%0%-7%-65% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-9%-42%-24%-19%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, ABT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNXGLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven735 days464 days

Compare to EW, MASI, UFPT, ATRC, ABT


In The Past

NexGel's stock fell -66.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/22/2021. A -66.8% loss requires a 201.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NexGel (NXGL)

Better Bets than NexGel (NXGL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can NexGel Stock Recover If Markets Fall?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NXGL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NexGel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NXGLEWMASIUFPTATRCABTMedian
NameNexGel Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Abbott L. 
Mkt Price1.6083.98138.09219.6636.31125.29104.64
Mkt Cap0.049.17.51.71.7218.34.6
Rev LTM125,8842,18259851843,8431,390
Op Inc LTM-31,61913395-267,713114
FCF LTM-380016887166,917128
FCF 3Y Avg-46889356-95,96575
CFO LTM-31,01720899439,119154
CFO 3Y Avg-395514767188,132107

Growth & Margins

NXGLEWMASIUFPTATRCABTMedian
NameNexGel Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Abbott L. 
Rev Chg LTM133.0%10.6%38.5%29.5%15.8%6.4%22.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg88.2%4.4%11.4%23.4%18.0%-0.6%14.7%
Rev Chg Q100.3%14.7%8.2%6.5%15.8%6.9%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM14.1%3.5%1.3%1.6%3.7%1.7%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM-26.1%27.5%6.1%16.0%-5.1%17.6%11.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-73.8%28.9%8.9%15.8%-6.2%16.3%12.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.8%-0.4%2.0%-0.6%1.7%0.2%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-24.7%17.3%9.5%16.6%8.3%20.8%13.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-68.5%18.7%8.1%13.5%3.6%19.5%10.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-25.4%13.6%7.7%14.6%3.1%15.8%10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-77.8%13.4%5.3%11.2%-2.8%14.3%8.2%

Valuation

NXGLEWMASIUFPTATRCABTMedian
NameNexGel Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Abbott L. 
Mkt Cap0.049.17.51.71.7218.34.6
P/S1.77.73.72.63.35.33.5
P/EBIT-7.026.6-46.716.5-76.827.04.7
P/E-6.833.3-14.022.9-58.716.75.0
P/CFO-6.944.738.315.539.225.632.0
Total Yield-14.8%3.0%-7.1%4.4%-1.7%7.7%0.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-23.4%1.6%1.1%3.5%-0.4%3.0%1.3%
D/E0.10.00.10.10.00.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.10.00.1-0.00.00.0

Returns

NXGLEWMASIUFPTATRCABTMedian
NameNexGel Edwards .Masimo UFP Tech.AtriCure Abbott L. 
1M Rtn-31.9%1.1%-4.7%10.4%6.7%1.2%1.1%
3M Rtn-30.4%3.4%1.0%7.9%4.4%-4.8%2.2%
6M Rtn-30.1%7.9%-15.3%-8.5%4.0%-4.9%-6.7%
12M Rtn-55.1%19.6%-20.7%-26.6%0.5%9.8%-10.1%
3Y Rtn33.3%9.7%-5.1%79.7%-20.3%22.9%16.3%
1M Excs Rtn-31.9%1.1%-4.7%10.4%6.7%1.2%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-33.6%-1.6%-8.8%-0.2%-3.5%-10.6%-6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-44.9%-6.8%-30.0%-23.2%-10.7%-19.6%-21.4%
12M Excs Rtn-63.2%4.2%-33.5%-45.5%-13.1%-6.1%-23.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.0%-62.0%-75.5%15.5%-90.0%-46.8%-54.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity45,361
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202559.8%
Average Daily Volume101,962
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity7,654,348
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024327202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024819202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023410202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021321202210-K 12/31/2021
3312021517202110-Q 3/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Henry Scott Robert9292025Sell2.367,69718,149286,145Form