Quanex Building Products (NX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.82 | Market Cap: $631.4 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Quanex Building Products (NX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $13.82Market Cap: $631.4 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 70% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 94% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -35.2% movement in Quanex Building Products (NX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Quanex Building Products reported a significant miss in its Third Quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS). The company announced Q3 2025 results on September 4, 2025, with an EPS of $0.69, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.85 by $0.16, representing an 18.82% miss. This announcement led to a substantial 16.36% drop in the stock during premarket trading.
2. Operational challenges contributed to a net loss despite a revenue beat. Despite reporting Q3 2025 revenue of $495.27 million, which slightly exceeded analyst estimates, the company faced operational issues, particularly at its Monterrey, Mexico facility, resulting in a net loss of $276,000 for the quarter.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NX Return | 33% | 13% | -3% | 31% | -20% | -45% | -15% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 23% | -27% | 17% | 44% | 72% | 226% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NX Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 55% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NX Max Drawdown | -52% | -7% | -26% | -20% | -24% | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -16% | -46% | -24% | -14% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CDE, CENX, KALU, TT, JCI. See NX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 336 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 201 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 757 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 244.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 409 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CDE, CENX, KALU, TT, JCI
In The Past
Quanex Building Products's stock fell -36.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -36.3% loss requires a 57.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Quanex Building Products
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,867 |
| Op Inc LTM | 340 |
| FCF LTM | 198 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 41 |
| CFO LTM | 376 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 215 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 21.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| P/S | 2.0 |
| P/EBIT | 23.9 |
| P/E | 30.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 29.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 107.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 41.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3112025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12162024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6072024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3082024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12152023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3102023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12162022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9022022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6032022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3042022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12172021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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