Tearsheet

Netgear (NTGR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $24.25 | Market Cap: $694.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Netgear (NTGR)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $24.25
Market Cap: $694.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Network Equipment, and IoT for Buildings.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 195x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9%
5   Key risks
NTGR key risks include [1] gross margin pressure from specific supply constraints in managed switches and rising component costs, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Network Equipment, and IoT for Buildings.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.7%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 195x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.9%
8 Key risks
NTGR key risks include [1] gross margin pressure from specific supply constraints in managed switches and rising component costs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NTGR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate 10.2% stock movement for Netgear (NTGR) from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:

1. Weaker Q4 2025 Outlook and Negative Operating Margin Guidance: Despite beating Q3 2025 earnings estimates, Netgear's guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025 projected net revenue in the range of $170 million to $185 million and anticipated negative operating margins, signaling ongoing operational pressures.

2. Headwinds from Rising Memory Costs: Management specifically identified rising memory costs as a headwind expected to impact gross margins by approximately 150 basis points, particularly affecting the home networking segment, which raised concerns about future profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NTGR Return66%-28%-38%-19%91%-14%-2%
Peers Return31%49%-30%43%38%12%203%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTGR Win Rate75%42%17%50%75%33% 
Peers Win Rate55%68%33%55%63%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTGR Max Drawdown-37%-35%-40%-42%-21%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-39%-5%-6%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, QCOM, NTAP, FFIV, ANET. See NTGR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTGRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven333.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven795 days1,480 days

Compare to CSCO, QCOM, NTAP, FFIV, ANET


In The Past

Netgear's stock fell -76.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -76.9% loss requires a 333.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Netgear (NTGR)

Better Bets than Netgear (NTGR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NTGR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Netgear

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTGRCSCOQCOMNTAPFFIVANETMedian
NameNetgear Cisco Sy.Qualcomm NetApp F5 Arista N. 
Mkt Price24.3978.42175.25111.90256.91131.12121.51
Mkt Cap0.7310.2188.922.314.8164.993.6
Rev LTM70057,69644,2846,6373,0888,4487,543
Op Inc LTM-3312,99112,3941,5007913,6232,561
FCF LTM-1412,73312,8201,6769064,0462,861
FCF 3Y Avg5613,87911,2771,3607562,9112,136
CFO LTM413,74414,0121,8609504,1413,000
CFO 3Y Avg6614,73612,5041,5347982,9642,249

Growth & Margins

NTGRCSCOQCOMNTAPFFIVANETMedian
NameNetgear Cisco Sy.Qualcomm NetApp F5 Arista N. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%8.9%13.7%2.5%9.7%27.8%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.8%3.7%1.2%0.6%4.7%29.4%2.4%
Rev Chg Q0.9%7.5%10.0%2.8%8.5%27.5%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.8%2.4%0.7%2.1%6.3%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM-4.7%22.5%28.0%22.6%25.6%42.9%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.1%24.2%25.9%20.8%22.8%40.8%23.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.4%-0.2%0.8%0.4%-0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM0.5%23.8%31.6%28.0%30.8%49.0%29.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%26.1%31.5%23.8%27.4%41.7%26.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.9%22.1%28.9%25.3%29.4%47.9%27.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%24.6%28.4%21.1%25.9%41.0%25.2%

Valuation

NTGRCSCOQCOMNTAPFFIVANETMedian
NameNetgear Cisco Sy.Qualcomm NetApp F5 Arista N. 
Mkt Cap0.7310.2188.922.314.8164.993.6
P/S1.05.44.33.44.819.54.5
P/EBIT-21.222.614.214.818.745.516.7
P/E-26.730.034.118.921.449.125.7
P/CFO195.122.613.512.015.639.819.1
Total Yield-3.7%5.4%4.9%7.2%4.7%2.0%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%2.0%1.9%0.0%0.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%6.0%7.0%6.4%5.7%2.5%6.2%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.40.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

Returns

NTGRCSCOQCOMNTAPFFIVANETMedian
NameNetgear Cisco Sy.Qualcomm NetApp F5 Arista N. 
1M Rtn0.3%4.0%10.4%8.4%13.8%9.6%9.0%
3M Rtn-16.2%15.7%5.6%-10.2%-21.8%-12.4%-11.3%
6M Rtn-8.2%19.7%17.1%10.0%-10.5%52.0%13.5%
12M Rtn-12.9%37.5%17.2%-3.6%1.8%16.2%9.0%
3Y Rtn32.1%79.6%63.7%99.5%80.8%325.3%80.2%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%-2.9%3.1%2.4%11.8%2.2%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-17.1%14.3%1.7%-11.9%-24.3%-11.9%-11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-26.1%4.4%2.2%-5.1%-26.4%29.2%-1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-18.0%24.5%0.5%-19.7%-14.1%3.1%-6.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.9%2.6%-16.9%15.0%-2.1%229.3%0.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home Networking4475598531,008711
NETGEAR for Business294374315248287
Total7419321,1681,255999


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,500,210
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-18.5%
Average Daily Volume513,950
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.92
Basic Shares Quantity28,638,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20250.8%-12.8%-23.1%
7/30/2025-5.7%0.8%8.6%
4/30/202516.1%18.9%21.6%
2/5/20251.3%4.5%-17.2%
10/30/20246.0%13.6%19.0%
7/31/20243.5%-5.4%2.3%
5/1/2024-21.2%-22.5%-7.6%
1/31/20241.5%0.8%6.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9109
# Negative151415
Median Positive6.0%2.7%13.7%
Median Negative-4.4%-9.0%-12.0%
Max Positive22.6%31.8%24.7%
Max Negative-21.2%-22.5%-28.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023804202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023505202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022805202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022506202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McLindin GraemeVP, Mobile11052025Sell34.261,20541,2831,055,482Form
1Maiorino Bradley10142025Sell35.2613,063460,6011,987,113Form