Tearsheet

Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $2.93 | Market Cap: $450.9 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG)


Market Price (12/16/2025): $2.93
Market Cap: $450.9 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Battery Materials, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Battery Materials, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 102%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NMG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Nouveau Monde Graphite's (NMG) stock movement by 49.2% from August 31, 2025, to December 16, 2025:

1. Nouveau Monde Graphite secured multiple binding offtake agreements and strengthened commercial partnerships for its Phase-2 production. The company finalized agreements with key players, including an updated binding offtake agreement with Panasonic Energy to accelerate active anode material production, and a revised marketing and offtake agreement with Traxys North America LLC for graphite concentrate. Notably, NMG also secured a significant seven-year contract with the Government of Canada for 30,000 tonnes per annum of graphite concentrate for strategic applications, effectively reserving potentially 100% of its future Phase-2 Matawinie Mine flake graphite production. These agreements significantly de-risk the project and ensure market access for NMG's output.

2. The company released an updated feasibility study reaffirming the strong economics and technical viability of its Phase-2 Matawinie Mine. On November 12, 2025, NMG announced the results of an updated feasibility study for its Phase-2 Matawinie Mine, projecting a 25-year lifespan and reinforcing its technical and economic soundness. This study, prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101, refined financial parameters to reflect commercial agreements and updated capital expenditure projections.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NMG Return-27%6037%-45%-32%-39%84%1775%
Peers Return63%-23%-61%-41%2%19%-65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NMG Win Rate8%17%17%42%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate46%42%25%38%46%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NMG Max Drawdown-32%0%-50%-48%-52%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-34%-64%-47%-52%-65% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EAF, WWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/15/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNMGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven667.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven427 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven584 days120 days

Compare to WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK


In The Past

Nouveau Monde Graphite's stock fell -87.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2021. A -87.0% loss requires a 667.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG)

Better Bets than Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NMG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%40.8%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.1%15.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%40.8%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.1%15.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nouveau Monde Graphite

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NMGEAFWWRMedian
NameNouveau .GrafTech.Westwate. 
Mkt Price2.9116.270.862.91
Mkt Cap0.40.40.10.4
Rev LTM052200
Op Inc LTM-63-63-13-63
FCF LTM-65-120-17-65
FCF 3Y Avg-59-37-40-40
CFO LTM-48-87-10-48
CFO 3Y Avg-449-10-10

Growth & Margins

NMGEAFWWRMedian
NameNouveau .GrafTech.Westwate. 
Rev Chg LTM--3.7%--3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--25.7%--25.7%
Rev Chg Q-10.2%-10.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.6%-2.6%
Op Mgn LTM--12.0%--12.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--6.6%--6.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.5%-4.5%
CFO/Rev LTM--16.7%--16.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--0.5%--0.5%
FCF/Rev LTM--23.1%--23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--7.7%--7.7%

Valuation

NMGEAFWWRMedian
NameNouveau .GrafTech.Westwate. 
Mkt Cap0.40.40.10.4
P/S-0.6-0.6
P/EBIT--4.0--4.0
P/E-3.3-1.6-4.2-3.3
P/CFO-9.0-3.8-8.1-8.1
Total Yield-30.2%-61.4%-23.7%-30.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--28.8%--28.8%
D/E-3.3-3.3
Net D/E-2.8-2.8

Returns

NMGEAFWWRMedian
NameNouveau .GrafTech.Westwate. 
1M Rtn-0.7%19.7%-11.9%-0.7%
3M Rtn35.3%55.1%28.0%35.3%
6M Rtn67.2%26.1%41.3%41.3%
12M Rtn120.5%-19.9%55.7%55.7%
3Y Rtn-33.4%-66.8%6.6%-33.4%
1M Excs Rtn-2.9%18.3%-15.6%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn34.7%48.0%22.4%34.7%
6M Excs Rtn54.3%13.1%28.3%28.3%
12M Excs Rtn95.8%-27.3%35.2%35.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-108.3%-140.5%-85.6%-108.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1241501262117
Total1241501262117


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,126,397
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-18.7%
Average Daily Volume486,317
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.32
Basic Shares Quantity153,897,325
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111220256-K 9/30/2025
630202581420256-K 6/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024331202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111420246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451420246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022324202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111420226-K 9/30/2022
630202281120226-K 6/30/2022
331202251220226-K 3/31/2022
12312021330202240-F 12/31/2021