GrafTech International (EAF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.965 | Market Cap: $362.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
GrafTech International (EAF)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.965Market Cap: $362.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include High-Performance Industrial Materials, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 275% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1349% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 890% | ||
| Key risksEAF key risks include [1] its dependence on petroleum needle coke supply and [2] the potential reduction of anti-dumping tariffs that could significantly weaken its competitive position. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include High-Performance Industrial Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -141% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 275% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -26% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 1349% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -66% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 890% |
| Key risksEAF key risks include [1] its dependence on petroleum needle coke supply and [2] the potential reduction of anti-dumping tariffs that could significantly weaken its competitive position. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EAF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
GrafTech International (EAF) experienced a significant stock movement of 40.9% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, primarily driven by several key factors:
1. Positive Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: GrafTech reported improved financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a narrowed net loss, positive adjusted EBITDA of $13 million, and positive adjusted free cash flow of $18 million. The company also surpassed analyst estimates for net sales, reaching $144 million against an estimate of $141 million.
2. Robust Sales Volume Growth: The company achieved a 9% year-over-year increase in sales volume for the third quarter of 2025, reaching 28.8 thousand metric tons. Notably, sales volume in the United States surged by 53% year-over-year, reflecting a strategic shift in geographic sales mix towards regions with stronger pricing dynamics.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EAF Return | -7% | 11% | -60% | -54% | -21% | -9% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 3041% | -49% | 26% | -28% | 40% | 2610% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EAF Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 46% | 21% | 46% | 33% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EAF Max Drawdown | -49% | -10% | -64% | -57% | -75% | -94% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -1% | -52% | -25% | -35% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ENTG, NMG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EAF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 573.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 655 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 300 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to POWL, AZZ, SXI, AIGO, SONC
In The Past
GrafTech International's stock fell -85.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -85.1% loss requires a 573.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EAF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 08312022 | EAF | GrafTech International | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -4.6% | -39.4% | -40.5% |
| 07312020 | EAF | GrafTech International | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.2% | 88.1% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 08312022 | EAF | GrafTech International | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -4.6% | -39.4% | -40.5% |
| 07312020 | EAF | GrafTech International | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 60.2% | 88.1% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for GrafTech International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 522 |
| Op Inc LTM | -63 |
| FCF LTM | -65 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -37 |
| CFO LTM | -48 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | -1.6 |
| P/CFO | -3.8 |
| Total Yield | -30.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -13.7% |
| D/E | 1.8 |
| Net D/E | 1.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -21.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -100.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/24/2025 | -2.1% | -26.9% | -30.0% |
| 7/25/2025 | 14.1% | 3.0% | -92.8% |
| 4/25/2025 | 7.8% | -9.1% | 59.2% |
| 2/7/2025 | -9.4% | -26.2% | -26.2% |
| 11/12/2024 | 5.3% | 1.4% | -7.2% |
| 7/26/2024 | -4.7% | -16.9% | -13.0% |
| 4/26/2024 | -1.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
| 2/14/2024 | 1.5% | 0.0% | 25.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% |
| Median Negative | -7.9% | -10.4% | -16.2% |
| Max Positive | 19.1% | 19.7% | 59.2% |
| Max Negative | -22.6% | -30.4% | -92.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shivaram Sachin M | 5152025 | Buy | 0.85 | 30,000 | 25,500 | 25,500 | Form | |
| 1 | Germain Jean-Marc | 5122025 | Buy | 0.78 | 50,000 | 39,000 | 70,200 | Form | |
| 2 | Roegner Eric V | 3172025 | Buy | 1.11 | 226 | 250 | 250 | Form | |
| 3 | O'Donnell Rory F. | Chief Financial Officer & SVP | 2132025 | Buy | 1.04 | 50,000 | 51,950 | 103,900 | Form |
| 4 | Flanagan Timothy K | CEO and President | 2132025 | Buy | 1.07 | 50,000 | 53,645 | 78,935 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |