Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.28 | Market Cap: $374.5 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Office REITs
Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.28Market Cap: $374.5 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Office REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 10%, FCF Yield is 12% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Flexible Office Solutions, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 10%, FCF Yield is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Flexible Office Solutions, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -28%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -35% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NLOP Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Net Lease Office Properties (NLOP) experienced an approximate 14.2% stock price decrease during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, with a significant drop observed in pre-market trading on December 4, 2025. The key points contributing to this movement include:
1. Ex-dividend date for a substantial special cash distribution. The primary factor for the stock's sharp decline on December 4, 2025, was the ex-dividend date for a special cash distribution of $4.10 per share. This significant payout, declared on November 24, 2025, meant that investors purchasing shares on or after December 4, 2025, would not receive the dividend, typically leading to a stock price adjustment roughly equivalent to the dividend amount.
2. Challenging market conditions for office real estate. Net Lease Office Properties operates in the office REIT sector, which has faced headwinds due to factors such as increased remote work and an excess supply of certain office formats. This broader industry trend likely contributed to a negative sentiment surrounding NLOP's assets.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NLOP Return | - | - | - | - | 69% | 2% | 73% |
| Peers Return | -23% | 26% | -41% | 1% | -9% | -11% | -53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NLOP Win Rate | - | - | - | 100% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 57% | 35% | 50% | 45% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NLOP Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -7% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -5% | -45% | -37% | -29% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HIW, HPP, PSTL, FSP, BXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
NLOP has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.
| Event | XLRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Net Lease Office Properties Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NLOP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Net Lease Office Properties
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 450 |
| Op Inc LTM | 31 |
| FCF LTM | 47 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 105 |
| CFO LTM | 57 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 117 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 25.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 41.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 40.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 4.6 |
| P/E | -2.2 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | -12.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11172023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 10042023 | 10-12B/A 12/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 11142022 | DRS 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |