Nine Energy Service (NINE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.4592 | Market Cap: $19.0 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Nine Energy Service (NINE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.4592Market Cap: $19.0 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1385% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.4% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -130%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -168% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.4 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1385% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.4% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 123% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NINE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -35.9% stock movement for Nine Energy Service (NINE) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Nine Energy Service reported lower-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results.
The company announced on October 30, 2025, that its third-quarter 2025 revenues were $132.0 million, which fell below its own guidance of $135.0 million to $145.0 million. Additionally, Nine Energy Service posted a net loss of $(14.6) million, or $(0.35) per diluted share, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.30 per share.
2. Significant declines in U.S. rig count and intensified pricing pressure impacted the company's performance.
Management cited that the third quarter of 2025 was challenging due to substantial rig count reductions and subsequent pricing pressure that began in the second quarter and continued into the third. The U.S. rig count decreased by approximately 7%, or 43 rigs, between the end of Q1 and Q3 2025. This downturn was particularly pronounced in the Permian Basin, where many rigs were removed, leading to a highly competitive market and negatively impacting revenue and earnings across all service lines.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NINE Return | -65% | -63% | 1353% | -82% | -58% | -61% | -94% |
| Peers Return | -24% | -18% | 54% | 16% | 40% | 21% | 88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NINE Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 67% | 25% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 35% | 50% | 43% | 42% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NINE Max Drawdown | -95% | -69% | 0% | -87% | -69% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -30% | -15% | -17% | -13% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTI, HLX, FTK, WBI, BKR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NINE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 769.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -96.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2536.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 973 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -88.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 785.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to FTI, HLX, FTK, WBI, BKR
In The Past
Nine Energy Service's stock fell -88.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2023. A -88.5% loss requires a 769.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NINE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Nine Energy Service
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,312 |
| Op Inc LTM | 84 |
| FCF LTM | 78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 110 |
| CFO LTM | 102 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 137 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 17.1 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 83.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 19.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3082022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |